The downloadable cheat sheet includes a breakdown by position of our favorite plays across all salaries. Projections and recommended game format plays are included, alongside our favorite stacks of the week. Updates will be made up until the slate locks, as injuries and projections are bound to change.
Downloadable Week 5 FD Cheat Sheet
What do we do with no Patrick Mahomes on the slate? Well we have quite a few options. Lamar Jackson has been a reliable fantasy option, and has brought a solid floor. He sits at $8,300 this week, which isn’t a bad price despite being the top priced quarterback. The Steelers are allowing a 246 yards per game and 1.7 passing touchdowns per game. Deshaun Watson is one name I want to get exposure to this week in any format. He gets a Falcons defense that was lit up by Tennessee, and are already dealing with injuries. This is also a get right game for Hopkins/Fuller, as they enter as one of the top stacks. The Falcons are allowing 1.8 passing touchdowns per game so far this season.
Moving into the upper $7,000’s, Matt Ryan is a contrarian side against Houston, who have allowed 264 passing yards per game. Tom Brady is also in a strong spot, and overall is one of the top points per dollar plays at the position. New England has a 28 implied total, and the Redskins are allowing 2.3 passing touchdowns per game. They have been one of the easier defenses to target. Kyler Murray is going to be a popular play this week against the Bengals defense, and it is a great spot for him to get going. However, I am going to limit my exposure given the style of play has been suspect the last few weeks. Jameis Winston is a GPP target, and has had a 25 FD point ceiling over the last eight weeks.
Christian McCaffrey has hit is 20.6 projection 87% of the time over the last eight weeks. He is an excellent option against a Jaguars defense that has looked a bit better than they actually are against the run. He doesn’t have the eye popping matchup like Ezekiel Elliott does, but McCaffrey’s volume is easily the best on the board. Elliott is in a prime spot against Green Bay, who are allowing the second most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs on the slate. He is a prime cash and tournament play at home this week. McCaffrey and Elliott are the top two pair, and if you are looking to make pivots, Alvin Kamara and Dalvin Cook are viable as well. However, I don’t feel as safe as I do compared to the top two. The Buccaneers defense is actually not bad against the run, while the Giants are middle of the road.
We can take a deeper dive below $7,000 this week for two bigger names. Leonard Fournette is coming off a monster game against Denver, and his volume has also been strong. I have no idea why he is $6,900, but he is a strong play in all formats. Carolina is a better pass defense compared to their run defense, and we should expect the Jags to game plan for that. David Johnson is in a great spot, and one of my favorite overall plays on the slate. The Bengals are allowing 68 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs and 120 rushing yards. Johnson’s usage in the passing game makes him a strong play, but this is also a good spot for him to get going on the ground.
As for pivots, Joe Mixon and Derrick Henry are going to be lower owned. The Bills rush defense isn’t bad, but they are not what they are advertised as. The Cardinals are also allowing over 110 rushing yards per game. Mixon is a boom or bust play and his offensive line ultimately makes him a risk. James Conner and Mark Ingram are other pivots to make in tournaments.
There are a few top wideouts that get narrowed out this week. Davante Adams is dealing with a toe injury, so he is unlikely to play. The Packers are facing Amari Cooper, and their defense has allowed just 128 receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts this season. DeAndre Hopkins projects well this week, and is a strong play. The Falcons defense is allowing 1.65 touchdowns per game to opposing receivers. On the flip side of that game, Julio Jones is a strong option as well. You can’t go wrong with any of the top wideouts in the Saints-Buccaneers game this week. Keenan Allen had a down week, but I don’t mind going back to the well on a player with such a large target share.
There are a handful of cheaper and mid-range wideouts to consider this week. You have Tyler Boyd as the lone Bengals wideout at $6,700. He gets a weak Arizona secondary. The entire Patriots receiving core is cheap, as Julian Edelman sits at $6,500. Josh Gordon and Phillip Dorsett are also cheap options. The Redskins secondary has allowed 172 receiving yards per game to opposing receivers, and 1.8 receiving touchdowns. The Carolina receivers are interesting in tournaments, just given Jalen Ramsey is ruled out, and they were a dud last week. If you want a low owned pair, DJ Moore and Curtis Samuel are it. For a safer cash game play, Larry Fitzgerald is just $5,800. You also have Emmanuel Sanders at $5,600. Both on the older side, but can still bring the fantasy points.
Marquise Brown, Will Fuller, Calvin Ridley, and Robby Anderson are all boom or bust options this week. Brown and Fuller come in as my favorites of the four. As mentioned above, Phillip Dorsett is also a cheap option to consider at just $5,400.
It is not a great week for this position. Austin Hooper comes in as the most expensive on the slate, which isn’t that appealing. Zach Ertz is on the slate, but hasn’t been worth this price tag, and on a non PPR site he needs the touchdown to really pay off. Darren Waller is in a tough spot against the Bears, and similar to Ertz, he doesn’t have the same appeal compared to DraftKings. I like Evan Engram this week, as tight ends have actually done okay against Minnesota. We also can count on him for plenty of volume. My favorite two of the week are Mark Andrews and Greg Olsen. Andrews seems to be in better health this week, and lines up in the slot most often where the Steelers struggle. Olsen is in a spot where the Jaguars are allowing 58 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends.
I mean just play New England… They face another weak team, and Colt McCoy is making the start this week. The only considerable pivot or if you can’t get up to the Patriots would be the Bears for $500 less. This game is in Oakland, and the Bears take on a weak Raiders team. They have just a 17 implied total on the year. It is tough to make a case for pivoting this week, but Philadelphia is at home against the Jets, who will not have Sam Darnold again. They have a strong front seven, and shouldn’t be tested too much with their weaker secondary. Tennessee and Buffalo are contrarian pivots in a deeper sense, as both of them have plenty of upside this week against each other. The over/under is below 39.