There are a few scoring differences to be aware of if you are playing on FanDuel from a site like DraftKings. This is universal, but interceptions are just -1 in scoring and not -2 which seems to be the standard in season long leagues. FanDuel is a .5 per reception scoring league, so that does play a factor into building lineups. Tarik Cohen won’t have as much weight compared to PPR sites. There are also no yardage bonuses for crossing over a specific threshold. Now that you are caught up, it is time to look at some contrarian plays for the Week 7 Main Slate.
Matthew Stafford – $7,700
The Giants are allowing 26.7 points per game this season, and are allowing big numbers through the air. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 69% of their passes against this secondary (nice), and they are allowing 8.3 yards per attempt, which is the third highest. Overall they are the 27th ranked pass defense, and have allowed quarterbacks to score 37, 24, 31, 23, 29, and 8 against them. The eight was last week against Kyler Murray, and the game against Washington where Dwayne Haskins and Case Keenum split, they were held to less than 10 fantasy points.
Todd Gurley – $7,400
GPP Projection: 20.5
Todd Gurley’s price has dropped and for good reason. The workload and production have been below average for most of the season. The touchdowns have kept him afloat, but this is a week where he can put it together. Cincinnati has allowed 189 rushing yards per game, and are allowing over five yards per attempt. Opposing teams are averaging 36 rushing yards, and have nine total rushing touchdowns against them. This is a great upside week for Gurley.
Le’Veon Bell – $7,000
GPP Projection: 20.3
The Jets have been in bad spots for most of the season, and the same goes for Le’Veon Bell. Week 8 is a decent spot for Bell, and he is a cheap option to consider at $7,000. Jacksonville is allowing 117 rushing yards per game, and 4.8 rushing yards per attempt. Running backs have averaged 24.4 attempts per game against Jacksonville this season, and Bell is a workhorse back that can take advantage.
John Brown – $5,900
GPP Projection: 16.2
John Brown below $6,000 is a steal this week against the 20th ranked pass defense in the NFL. Philadelphia has been shredded through the air, allowing 270 passing yards per game, and 14 passing touchdowns. Brown has seen 22% of the targets in Buffalo, and has an average depth of target of 14.1. His air yards rank 15th in the league among wide receivers. The Eagles are allowing the most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers, and have allowed six wide receivers cross 15 fantasy points in seven weeks.
Kenny Golladay – $6,700
GPP Projection: 18.4
Kenny Golladay has had some real floor and ceiling games this season, and has been considered a boom or bust. This is a boom week, and I like pairing him with Stafford as a QB-WR stack to get away from the chalk value, Ty Johnson. Golladay is seeing 22% of the targets, and is top ten in the league in air yards. He faces a secondary I talk about with Stafford, who have allowed the 8th most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers. New York has allowed five 100+ yard games this season already.
Austin Hooper – $6,600
GPP Projection: 14.6
The good news for Atlanta is that Matt Ryan is likely back and expected to play. The other good news is tight ends have had gotten a lot of volume against Seattle this season. Starting tight ends targets against Seattle have looked like this, 5, 7, 2, 2, 11, 6, and 8. To add in some reference, the first five target game, Tyler Eifert also had six targets in addition to five CJ Uzomah targets. The weeks with two targets, one was Arizona, and the other was New Orleans. Hooper has 402 air yards, which is fourth among tight ends, and he has the third most targets per game. With Mohamed Sanu now in New England, Hooper and Calvin Ridley should pick up a few extra targets.
Los Angeles Rams – $5,000
GPP Projection: 11.2
The Bengals have allowed four defenses to score 10+ fantasy points this season, and they have allowed 24 sacks on the season. Against this pass rush and now a secondary that includes Jalen Ramsey, they are stacked. Los Angeles ranks 6th in turnovers this season, and are 15th in sacks. They will look to build off their best defensive performance against Atlanta last week. The Bengals are averaging 16.2 points per game, which is the 5th lowest in the league, and are turning the ball over at the second highest rate in the league. If you want to pivot off of New England, the Rams are the move.