FanDuel Sportsbook Daily Pitch 6/5/19: Free Betting Lines, Picks, Props

Each day brings us new odds on the FanDuel Sportsbook, and we take a dive into the best odds to find picks and props that we like for the night. MLB is in full swing, but we have a lot of big events like the NBA Finals and the Stanley Cup as well.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers Under 9

I was a bit surprised to see the Rays-Tigers game with a total of nine. Over the last ten games in Detroit, the over is just 3-5-2. Over the last ten games no matter the location, the over is just 3-6-1. Detroit’s offense has been abysmal this season, and they face Charlie Morton. They are averaging 3.6 runs per game this season, and Morton should be able to keep them at bay.

Spencer Turnbull has been sneaky good this season, and has held teams to three or less runs in 11 of 12 starts this season. The bullpen for Detroit is the only concern here, but it is hard to see teams getting into the 7th already nearing the total. The under is 10-3 for the Rays on the road of late, Tommy Pham is questionable for tonight’s game. That would be a bigger bat out of the lineup.

Charlie Morton Over 6.5 Strikeouts

Charlie Morton is averaging 6.9 strikeouts per start this season, and is striking out 30.4% of the hitters he faces. Morton has been one of the stronger strikeout arms over the last few seasons. He gets a Detroit team that struggles against right-handed pitching, and just pitching in general. Dating back to last season, the projected lineup has a 25.5% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. Morton has a whiff rate of 40%+ on two of his pitches, and a 26% whiff rate on his fastball. Love him in this spot tonight from a fantasy perspective, which translates over here given the strikeout upside.

Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers -1.5

It was a beatdown in Milwaukee last night, but not by the team you think. Milwaukee will bounce back tonight, but also will welcome back Jimmy Nelson for the first time in a while, due to injury. Much like I did with Washington last night (which was a scare in the beginning), Milwaukee is a better return to win by two tonight.

The Brewers have been a better home team, going 18-2 and get one of the worst teams in the league. Sandy Alcantara had an excellent start against New York, and has faced some weaker offenses since. Overall this is a different offense, as Milwaukee averaging 4.9 runs per game compared to Miami’s 3.5 this season. The Brewers are 6-4 in their last ten games against Milwaukee, and are 7-3 in their last ten at home vs. Miami.

Fred VanVleet Over 11.5 Points

While Fred VanVleet isn’t a starter, he is going to continue to see 30+ minutes off the bench. VanVleet has scored 12+ points in five straight games. With Kyle Lowry struggling to stay on the court at times, and Danny Green going missing for portions of the playoffs, VanVleet has been the reliable one over the last few weeks.

VanVleet has the highest offensive rating of players playing over 20 minutes, and he has a TS% of 57% in the playoffs. His shot attempts over the last four games are 17, 8, 6, and 13. He is also firing from three quite a bit. His three point attempts are 8, 4, 5, and 9 over the last four games. Look for VanVleet to continue to be a positive player off the bench.

Kawhi Leonard Over 3.5 Assists

This was a rather low bar I found for Kawhi Leonard’s assists. 4.5 seemed more reasonable. He has had a couple of low assist games, but he has a 16% assist rate so far in the finals, and 19% over the course of the playoffs. Leonard has a 31% usage rate, and if the Warriors collapse on Leonard at times, there will be plenty of assist chances. Toronto’s shooting will need to be better, as they were under 40% in Game 2.