In this article, I’ll use the odds from DraftKings Sportsbook to build a Same Game Parlay (SGP) for this Chiefs vs. Eagles matchup. For those new to the world of sports betting, SGPs allow you to combine multiple wagers across the spread, total, and player prop markets to get an even better payout. You need to hit on every bet to win the parlay, so coming up with a winning combination is an exercise in balancing risk and reward.
As always, never bet more than you can afford to lose. While the payout for hitting a SGP can be great, the odds are high for a reason.
Super Bowl 57 DraftKings Same Game Parlay – Chiefs vs. Eagles
A good strategy for building a solid Same Game Parlay is to look for a combination of bets that are closely correlated. Since you need to hit on every bet to win the parlay, picking carefully coordinated bets that increase the likelihood of each bet hitting can be a recipe for success – and some nice winnings.
Leg 1: Josh Sweat Sack (+100)
If you read my Super Bowl preview, you will know that I am picking the Eagles to win and cover the -1.5 spread, and my SGP is going along with my analysis behind that pick. A big part of that is the Eagles’ league-best pass rush, which produced a whopping 70 sacks this year, just two shy of the NFL record.
The Eagles’ most dangerous pass rusher is Haason Reddick, who finished with 16 sacks on the year (tied for 2nd in the league) and had a 28% pass rush win rate this season (also 2nd in the league). Reddick has continued to be a force in the playoffs with a league-high 3.5 sacks.
The Chiefs have a much stronger offensive line than the Giants or 49ers and actually led the league in pass block win rate at 75%. Reddick lines up primarily outside of the right tackle, which for the Chiefs is Andrew Wylie. He is considered the weakest link on their offensive line, but he was 9th in the league among offensive tackles in pass block win rate.
Last week I picked a Reddick sack as one of the legs in my SGP, and while I would not be surprised at all if he does it again, I also expect the Chiefs to do everything they can to slow him down knowing he can single-handedly disrupt their gameplan. I still expect the Eagles to put plenty of pressure on Mahomes despite the strength of the Chiefs’ line, and the attention devoted to Reddick is going to create opportunities for their other pass rushers.
Josh Sweat had a career-high 11 sacks this season and was 9th in the league among edge rushers in pass rush win rate. He will line up primarily against Chiefs left tackle Orlando Brown Jr., who is the weakest pass blocker on the Chiefs’ line based on pass block win rate. So I am starting my SGP by picking Sweat to have at least one sack at +100 odds.
Leg 2: Chiefs Lost Fumble (+105)
If the Eagles’ pass rush is generating pressure on Mahomes, then there is a good chance they can convert that pressure into at least one turnover. Reddick led the league this season with five forced fumbles and added another in the NFC Championship Game against Brock Purdy. The Chiefs lost 11 fumbles this season, 7th most in the league, although only one of those fumbles was attributed to Mahomes.
It may not be a Mahomes strip sack, but I am betting the Eagles force at least one fumble against the Chiefs. The second leg of my SGP is going to be a Chiefs lost fumble at +105 odds.
Leg 3: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (+110)
Now let’s turn to the offensive side of the ball and talk about Jalen Hurts. He has 23 rushing touchdowns over the last two seasons, the most in a two-year span in NFL history. His 13 touchdowns this year were one shy of Cam Newton’s single-season mark set in 2011.
The Chiefs’ defense gave up the third-most red zone touchdowns (37) this season and allowed a touchdown on 67.3% of opponents’ red zone trips, second highest in the league. The Eagles’ offense had the third-highest touchdown conversation rate in the red zone thanks in large part to Hurts’ ability to run it in. The third leg of my SGP is a Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown at +110 odds.
Leg 4: Eagles -1.5 (-110)
With those three legs, the total odds on my DraftKings same game parlay would be +750, but let’s juice that up a bit. If I hit on all three of those legs, then I would feel even more confident in my pick of the Eagles to cover the spread. Adding the Eagles -1.5 as my fourth leg at -115 odds brings the overall SGP odds to +1100, and I like the sound of that.
I was tempted to juice that up even higher by picking an alternate line on the total. I faded the public and picked the over at 49.5 in this game, but I would not be so bold in a SGP. However, dropping that line down to 41.5 would be very intriguing. Adding the over on 41.5 total points at -320 odds would boost my overall SGP odds to +1500. As confident as I am the total will surpass that number, I am going to play it safe.
Here is a summary of our four-leg Super Bowl 57 Same Game Parlay at DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Josh Sweat 1+ sacks (+100)
- Chiefs to lose a fumble (+105)
- Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (+110)
- Eagles -1.5 (-115)
Full SGP Odds: +1100 ($10 wins $120)