Free NBA Betting Props: Picks + Analysis 2/27/19
Using matchup factors, statistical trends, injuries, and other various data, we can have an edge when it comes to betting on player props and game props for NBA. This is another way to make some money via the betting industry, and also a fun way to watch a game as well.
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Contents
Recap
Rough night on a three game slate, as blowouts in Toronto hurt. Westbrook and Dennis Smith Jr. missed their over on points. Looking back, Boston’s incompetence of late should have been valued higher, and we knew the risk with Smith Jr. Westbrook is someone I would take that over on ten out of ten times. We move onto tonight which has more options.
Last Slate: 0-3
All-Time: 10-13
Washington Wizards @ Brooklyn Nets
D’Angelo Russell Over 32.5 Points + Assists (-118)
Bradley Beal Over 2.5 Made Threes (-108)
D’Angelo Russell is coming get a horrendous Washington defense, who are allowing 117 points per game. They are allowing opponents to shoot 47% from the field, and 37% from three. Both are in the bottom ten in the league. Russell is averaging 28.2 points per game since the break, and averaging nine assists per game. He has hit this 32.5 mark in three of the last five games. In Brooklyn wins, he has averaged 22 points per game with 7.2 assists. The Nets are -220 favorites tonight.
Bradley Beal has averaged 7.2 three point attempts over the last five games, and has played 40+ minutes in four of the last five games. He is averaging 2.4 threes in that span, and his scoring will be needed once again. Averaging 34.4 points per game with this volume, Beal is one to look at an over.
Los Angeles Clippers @ Utah Jazz
Rudy Gobert Over 31.5 Points + Rebounds (-104)
Lou Williams Over 1.5 Made Threes (-106)
If you checked out the FanDuel picks, you know I am high on Rudy Gobert tonight, going up against the Clippers. Overall Los Angeles looks solid at rebounding, but they are allowing the third most rebounds per game to opposing centers, and the second most points per game. Gobert is averaging 18 and 14 over the last five games, posting five straight double-doubles. I am looking for a repeat of his first game.
Lou Williams just needing two made threes seems a bit low, given he is averaging two over the last five games. The volume is also there, averaging 5.6 attempts per game in that span. Williams is getting a lot of run and usage, also averaging 27 points per game in the last five games.
Milwaukee Bucks @ Sacramento Kings
De’Aaron Fox Over 15.5 Points (-118)
This should be a sneaky fun game to watch tonight, and there is some betting value as well. De’Aaron Fox has hit 16+ points in four of the last five games, and is averaging 17.3 per game on the season. Eric Bledsoe is an above average defender, and on paper this isn’t a good matchup, but Fox hitting 16+ points is there.
New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Lakers
LeBron James Over 9.5 Assists (-134)
LeBron James is trying to push for the playoffs with a dreadful Lakers team, and I am actually not sure how he is getting the assists he get right now. He has averaged 13 assists in the two meetings with New Orleans, and 10.8 assists per game in the last five.
