The spread opened at -5 in a few places, and almost across the board, you will find it at -4.5 for Gonzaga. DraftKings, BetMGM, William Hill, and FanDuel are all sitting at that mark. The total is at 159 or 159.5, depending on where you look. On BetMGM, the total opened at 160. If you are looking to bet on Baylor, the best odds are over on William Hill, where they are +175 as outright winners. Otherwise, some are in the +163 or +165 range. The Zags are about -200 everywhere.
In states where you can wager on college awards, Drew Timme sees the most action for most outstanding player. He is -120 on BetMGM to win, while Jalen Suggs is +115 and Davion Mitchell is +400. Timme and Suggs are the likely winners here, and Suggs made a leap after his last game.
56% of BetMGM’s handle is on Gonzaga for this one with a 50% ticket%. 60% are on the over, and 84% of the handle is on the over here as well. There have been some notable bets with 100K placed on Gonzaga at +150 to win the tournament in the futures department. This would have been around the Sweet 16, where they were +150. Before the tournament, they were +200 to start, and preseason they were +800. Baylor started with the same odds but was +450 at the Sweet 16 mark and still was +375 at the Final Four. From futures, Gonzaga has 37% of the handle, Baylor has 15%.
Drew Timme and Jalen Suggs have seen the most ticket%, but 63% of the handle is on Drew Timme to win Most Outstanding Player. There is also a notable bet of $330K on the over at 159.5. This would win $300K.
This is arguably the championship we should have gotten based on odds before the season and the overall talent of the two teams. For Gonzaga, they have a trio of strong players with Kispert, Timme, and Suggs. However, we saw Ayayi shoot very well last game and play a big role. Baylor’s leading scorer Butler averaged 17 per game this season, and they have a lot of strong guard play, especially with Mitchell. Both of these teams can shoot from three, which should set up a high-scoring game if the shots are dropping.
With five players over nine points per game and four in double digits, Gonzaga has the edge in depth. Their bigs are athletic and going to be trouble for Baylor. The game should be close, but Gonzaga will pull away late. I have Gonzaga winning 69-61