I’m stoked for this game as a matchup between two NFC powerhouses, but now Davante Adams and Allen Lazard are set to miss after testing positive for COVID-19. Their absences have obvious implications on the betting line, but they will also impact where we look for value in prop bets. In this article, I’ll break down the best player prop values in what should be an exciting Thursday Night Football matchup.
Green Bay Packers Vs. Arizona Cardinals Player Prop Search Tool
Chase Edmonds Over 43.5 Rushing Yards
James Conner has seen plenty of work this season, but Chase Edmonds saw 69% of the team’s snaps last week to Conner’s 30% as Edmonds seems to be over a shoulder issue that had caused him some problems over the prior few weeks. The Packers are a susceptible run defense as they are allowing the 11th-most rushing yards and 4.9 yards per carry, the third-most in the NFL. Edmonds has been explosive this season as he has run at a 5.8 YPC clip, and even with star center Rodney Hudson set to miss again this week, the offensive line is good enough to open rushing lanes against a vulnerable front seven.
Thursday Night Football Best Player Props Video
Robert Tonyan Anytime TD Scorer
Make sure you shop around at different sportsbooks because the odds have varied significantly on this prop, but I’m very confident that Tonyan can get in the end zone this week. It’s been a down season for the Packers’ tight end with only two touchdowns after scoring 11 times last year, but I expect Tonyan to be the top target in the red zone with Davante Adams and Allen Lazard not playing. Aaron Rodgers should produce enough to score a couple of touchdowns this week; you can get +200 odds or better on one of those touchdowns going to Tonyan.
Kyler Murray Longest Completion Over 36.5 Yards
It’s been challenging to know which Cardinals’ wide receiver will have a big game on any given week as they arguably have the most pass-catching talent in the NFL. With so much big-play talent, Murray has completed a pass of 37 or more yards in four of his seven games this year. In two of the misses, he had completions of 36 and 34 yards. The Packers’ secondary hasn’t been as good without All-Pro cornerback Jaire Alexander, even with Adrian Amos providing excellent coverage over the top. It’s hard to know which Cardinals’ wide receiver to trust, so why not bet on Kyler Murray completing a long pass at some point in what should be a high-scoring game.
Aaron Rodgers Over 257.5 Passing Yards
You might see that Davante Adams and Allen Lazard are missing this game and be wary of betting on Aaron Rodgers, but I’m not. If you take out an uncharacteristically awful Week 1 and the Bears game in which Rodgers only attempted 23 passes as Green Bay led the entirety of the game, he averages 276.4 passing yards per game this season. In his last five appearances without Davante Adams, Rodgers is averaging 325.4 passing yards. The Cardinals’ defense is among the best in the league in virtually every metric. However, Rodgers should be capable of fending off their elite pass rush and completing passes downfield against what I still see as a vulnerable secondary.