Get Green Bay Packers Vs. Buffalo Bills player prop picks & odds for the (10/30/22) matchup
Green Bay Packers Vs. Buffalo Bills Player Prop Search Tool
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Green Bay Packers Vs. Buffalo Bills Player Prop Picks
This Sunday Night Football game certainly seemed more appealing prior to the beginning of the season, but I’m still excited to watch Aaron Rodgers play Josh Allen in primetime. The Bills are currently 11-point favorites here, which sets up for an interesting game script to find player prop value in. You can use the player prop search tool above to compare odds from different sportsbooks for this Packers vs. Bills game. Also, be sure to check out our YouTube channel for our official game picks and player props videos for this game. Let’s get to work.
Aaron Jones Over 4.5 Receptions (+110 BetMGM)
This is going to be an Aaron Jones game. I took some time deciding which prop I wanted to play of his, because I’m not a huge fan of double-dipping on the same player, but you can make a case for several different props of his. If you want to spread around half units or quarter units across the board, I can’t blame you.
However, I landed on Aaron Jones’ reception prop as the best look here. He racked up nine catches last week, which was the first time all year he’s been over 4.5, but I expect we’ll see more of that with Allen Lazard expected to be out this week. That will be particularly true if we see the Packers playing from behind in a passing game script like the spread in this game suggests.
I don’t have a great explanation as to why the Packers aren’t using Jones more. He’s their best skill position talent, and the team isn’t exactly overloaded with playmakers. The Packers are 31-2 in games where Jones has 15+ touches and 10-8 when he has fewer than 14. He might sweep the board on his player props, and he’ll be the focal point of my Same Game Parlay article when that comes out.
Devin Singletary Over 56.5 Rushing Yards (-113 BetRivers)
While not an elite running back, Devin Singletary has been very effective when the Bills have committed to him being a focal point of the offense. Prior to his bye week, Singletary had 17 carries for 85 yards against the Chiefs. This week, he faces the Packers’ poor run defense that ranks 31st in DVOA, 29th in success rate allowed, and 25th in yards per carry allowed this year.
My biggest concern with this prop is that the Bills will go through lengthy stretches where they seemingly forget running the ball is an option and only attack through the air. However, they will likely use the ground game as a way to mitigate the Packers’ pass rush as Green Bay ranks third in pressure rate this season. I’m willing to bet on Singletary turning in a productive game given the expected game script and the matchup.
Josh Allen Under 40.5 Rushing Yards (-110 BetMGM)
For the Bills’ last game against the Chiefs, I took the over on Josh Allen’s rushing yards as I wrote about how his rushing splits against playoff teams and non-playoff teams were drastic, particularly against the Chiefs. Well, the Packers are currently on the outside looking in at the playoffs, and I don’t expect the Bills to be overly aggressive with Allen as a runner in this game.
The Packers have also been very adept at handling rushing quarterbacks this season. They held Daniel Jones and Justin Fields, two of the better running quarterbacks in the league, to an average of 28.5 rushing yards. While the overall run defense has been poor, All Pro linebacker De’Vondre Campbell is turning in another excellent season, and he’ll likely be used as a spy on Allen in this game.