Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Player Props (11/21/21)

The Packers and Vikings meet up this week in a highly-anticipated divisional showdown between two teams looking to cement a spot in the playoffs. The Vikings earned a massive win over the Chargers last week while the Packers shut out the Seahawks at home. This game will see plenty of betting interest, and there is tremendous value to be found betting on player props. As always, you can use the player prop search tool below to find the best values for the Packers vs. Vikings game.

Green Bay Packers Vs. Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Search Tool

A.J. Dillon Over 112.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

With Aaron Jones out this week after suffering an MCL injury last week, A.J. Dillon will be the starting running back for Green Bay until Jones can return. Dillon only played on 49% of the team’s snaps last week, and he racked up 128 yards from scrimmage against the Seahawks. We can get context on how much Dillon will likely play this week by looking at Jamaal Williams’s snap share when Jones was injured last year. In two games without Jones last year, Williams played on 84.9% of snaps. Dillon is arguably a better talent than Williams, and even better than Jones, although nobody is ready to have that conversation yet. Nonetheless, Dillon can take advantage of a Vikings defense, allowing the fifth-most rushing yards per game, and he should have a huge outing.

Tyler Conklin Over 39.5 Receiving Yards

The Packers’ defense has been excellent this season, and they’ve allowed just 202.7 passing yards per game, the third-fewest in the NFL. However, the one position they’ve been vulnerable against has been the tight end, as the Packers have allowed 52.3 yards per game to them. Tyler Conklin has seen a ton of involvement in the offense this year as he’s averaging 39.2 receiving yards per game and has gone over this line in three of his last four games. The Seahawks’ Will Dissly and Gerald Everett combined for 85 receiving yards last week, and Conklin should be above this number in this game. I don’t hate the idea of sprinkling in a little on Conklin to score a touchdown at around +250, as well.

Davante Adams Over 0.5 Receiving Touchdowns

Last year, the Packers gave Davante Adams an insane level of work in the red zone, with 44.4% of the team’s passing attempts inside the ten-yard line going to him. This year, that number has dropped to 19.2%. That’s still a ton of work, though, and he’s due for some positive touchdown regression. He scored 14 touchdowns on 28 targets in the red zone last year (50%) and has only scored three touchdowns on 12 targets this year (25%). With Aaron Jones out, Robert Tonyan on Injured Reserve, and Allen Lazard currently doubtful, Adams will be heavily involved on the goal-line. You’re going to have to drink the juice on this line, but I have a lot of confidence in Adams finding the end zone this week as he did five times in two games against Minnesota last year.

Kirk Cousins Under 267.5 Passing Yards

Green Bay has been without All-Pro cornerback Jaire Alexander for most of the season, but its defense has still been excellent as they have allowed just 202.7 passing yards per game, the third-fewest in the NFL. Over the past three weeks, Russell Wilson, Patrick Mahomes, and Kyler Murray have averaged just 200.3 passing yards against the Packers. In his last four games against the Packers, Kirk Cousins averages 192.8 passing yards per game. I’m surprised the line was priced this high, and I’m smashing the under in what should be a lower-scoring, divisional game.