Green Bay Packers Vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Player Props & Picks (11/27/22)
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Get Green Bay Packers Vs. Philadelphia Eagles player prop picks & odds for the (11/27/22) matchup
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Green Bay Packers Vs. Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Picks
On Sunday Night Football, we have an exciting matchup between the Packers and Eagles on deck. These teams have trended in opposite directions, but they might not be as far apart in terms of quality as public perception would have you believe. Regardless, the player prop market looks ripe for value in this game, and I’ll break down my favorite plays here. You can use the Packers vs. Eagles player prop search tool above to find the best odds in your market.
Randall Cobb Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (-115 DraftKings)
Let’s target another slot receiver against the Eagles. Randall Cobb has played over 80% of his snaps from the slot this season per PFF, and the emergence of Christian Watson ensures that will be his role in three-wide sets. That lines him up for great success on Sunday Night Football.
The Eagles have two outstanding outside cornerbacks in Darius Slay and James Bradberry, and they had a great slot corner in Avonte Maddox. However, Maddox is now on Injured Reserve, and Josiah Scott has struggled in his spot. Through two weeks as the starting slot, Scott has allowed eight catches for 122 yards, and he has a below-average PFF grade in both games.
Randall Cobb has surpassed 31.5 receiving yards in five of his last six games, and he came through with six catches for 73 yards last week. Given the nature of this matchup and Cobb’s involvement in the offense, I believe this receiving yardage line is set too low.
Aaron Jones Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-115 BetMGM)
The Eagles have been incredibly vulnerable on the ground lately as they’ve allowed an 80+ yard rusher in four of their last five games. They now rank 26th in run defense DVOA and dead last in rushing success rate allowed. While they added Linval Joseph and Ndomakung Suh to help matters, it won’t be totally resolved overnight.
Aaron Jones is one of the most boom or bust running backs in the NFL. Check out his final rushing yardage totals in his last four games: 143, 25, 138, 40. However, we know the Packers want to run the ball as they have attempted 42 rushes to 24 passes in neutral game scripts since Week 10.
The Packers’ offensive line is perhaps the healthiest it’s been all season, and Green Bay ranks second in the NFL in adjusted line yards. As a result, they should win the battle in the trenches, and I like Jones’s chances to have a boom game this week.
DeVonta Smith Over 4.5 Receptions (-150 BetMGM)
I’m still deciding how I want to approach DeVonta Smith in this game, but it may be a rare occurrence where I’d be willing to lay significant juice on a player prop. Smith has 5+ receptions in five of his last six games, and he’s become an even more important piece of the offense as of late.
With Dallas Goedert on Injured Reserve and A.J. Brown working through an ankle injury and an illness, Smith is crucial to what the Eagles do on offense. He has 8+ targets in three of his last four games, as well.
The Packers will likely follow suit with what Eagles’ opponents have done lately and run a fair amount of zone coverage, which Smith can exploit. That’s especially true since we should expect Jaire Alexander, the team’s former All Pro corner, to draw more coverage on A.J. Brown this week.