The current Super Bowl Odds for the Houston Texans are . The Texans were one of the most pleasant surprises of the 2023 season. They came out of nowhere to win the AFC South after more than tripling their win total from last season (3), and they continued their storybook season by defeating the Browns 45-14 in the Wild Card round. The Texans’ season is likely to end when they face the top-seeded Ravens in the divisional round, but the new combination of head coach DeMeco Ryans and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has made them a dangerous playoff team with a very bright future.
Houston Texans Super Bowl Odds & Futures 2023-2024
|Houston Texans Super Bowl Odds & Futures
|Odds (Updated February 2024)
|Super Bowl 58 Odds
|AFC Winner Odds
|AFC South Odds
|To Make Playoffs Odds
|Texans Win Total Odds
The Texans had the longest preseason odds of any team that made the playoffs or won its division this season. After advancing to the second round of the playoffs, they now have their highest Super Bowl futures odds of the season at +3300. Of the eight remaining playoff teams, they are tied with the Buccaneers as the biggest Super Bowl longshot that is still alive.
Houston Texans Super Bowl Odds Analysis
Nothing could have the arrow pointing up on the Texans’ franchise more than rookie QB C.J. Stroud’s record-setting start to his career. The No. 2 overall pick became the first quarterback in NFL history to throw for over 1200 yards, 6 touchdowns and no interceptions in his first 4 career games. He also broke the record for most pass attempts (191) without an interception to start his career.
In week 9 against the Bucs, Stroud set an NFL rookie record with 470 passing yards and led his first signature game-winning TD drive of his career with just 46 seconds left. He followed that up with another game-winning drive to beat the Bengals on the road the following week, becoming the first rookie QB in over 40 years to lead game-winning drives in the final 2 minutes in back-to-back games.
Part of Stroud’s success can be attributed to the Texans’ offensive weapons being better than expected. They have seen the emergence of two young wide receivers in Nico Collins and Tank Dell, which has been complemented by solid veteran additions in wide receivers Noah Brown and Robert Woods and tight end Dalton Schultz. Unfortunately, those weapons took a major hit when Dell suffered a season-ending injury in week 13.
On the defensive side, Will Anderson Jr. has been everything they hoped for when they made an aggressive trade up from 12 to 3 in the 2023 Draft. Anderson Jr. is already among the league leaders in pass rush win rate and run stop win rate and he is consistently commanding double teams, which creates more opportunities for his teammates.
The combination of Ryans, Stroud, and Anderson Jr. are foundational building blocks for this franchise that are already paying dividends. From the overall team’s success, it seems that those team leaders have also helped to bring a winning culture to the organization. That is a lot to ask of rookies, but clearly they were up to the task.
The Texans’ playoff chances came down to their final game on the road against the Colts. After winning that game on the final possession to secure their playoff spot, they got some help from the Titans who upset the Jaguars and handed Houston the AFC South title. It was the Texans’ first division title and first playoff appearance since 2019 and their seventh division title in franchise history.
After their playoff win over the Cleveland Browns, the Texans are now 5-2 as a franchise in the Wild Card round but they are the only team in the NFL that has never appeared in a conference championship game. That is unlikely to change this year as they are more than a touchdown underdog against the Ravens (-9.5 as of this writing), but crazier things have happened.
They may still be a long way away from being a legitimate Super Bowl contender, but the arrow is pointing straight up on the Texans’ franchise.
Reasons Why the Houston Texans Can and Can’t Win the Super Bowl
- CJ Stroud looks like a star in the making who can shred opposing secondaries with his elite arm talent
- Solid offensive weapons with a young WR in Nico Collins complemented by solid veterans like Noah Brown, Robert Woods, and Dalton Schultz
- Will Anderson Jr. has made an immediate impact on both the pass rush and run defense as a versatile outside linebacker
- Lacking depth on the offensive line which could doom them if the wrong guys (like Laremy Tunsil) get hurt
- Devin Singletary has been solid over the second half of the season, but the running game is still below average and Dameon Pierce has been disappointing in his second season
- Defense has shown progress but still has holes at some key positions
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