Houston Texans Super Bowl Odds 2022

By Jacob Wayne | Sep 22, 2021, 8:32am

Contents

JordanJennings Dunk

Houston Texans Super Bowl Odds 2022

After some deliberation with my editor, it does appear that we will be required to publish a Texans’ Super Bowl page. However, I’ve been granted permission to dunk all over this hapless football franchise. I didn’t just want a run-of-the-mill dunk contest tomahawk, though. I wanted something embarrassing. I wanted something that would leave a mark – on the rim and the posterized team’s psyche. I wanted some DeAndre Jordan and Brandon Jennings action – something career-altering. So, Texans fans, this one’s for you. I’m sorry your team sucks so much, but I hope this puts a self-deprecating smile on your face or at least leaves you nodding in agreement at the mess Bill O’Brien has left behind in Houston.

Houston Texans Team Future Odds

Super Bowl Odds:
To Win AFC:
To Win AFC South:
To Make Playoffs:
To Go 0-17

Offseason Changes

houston texans So, after Bill O’Brien shepherded the Texans to an 0-4 start to the season, he was canned and banished from the state of Texas forever. Perhaps it was the way Houston crumbled following their 24-0 lead over the Chiefs in the divisional round of the AFC playoffs in 2020. Maybe it was the fact that Houston was well on its way to being one of the worst teams in the NFL and didn’t even have its first-round pick to show for it. Perhaps it was the fact that DeAndre Hopkins, the team’s superstar wide receiver, had been traded over the offseason for a bag of chips in return. Whatever the case may be, Texans’ ownership finally said enough is enough and replaced O’Brien with a new head coach and general manager.

David Culley, a longtime positional coach in the NFL and most recently the assistant head coach for the Ravens, is the new head coach. Nick Caseiro, formerly a player personnel executive for the Patriots for 18 years, is the new general manager. Tim Kelly is back as the offensive coordinator as a holdover from the Bill O’Brien regime. Lovie Smith is the new defensive coordinator following a largely unsuccessful stint as the head coach for Illinois in the Big Ten. These are four brave men because they are about to be responsible for probably the worst team in football, and there’s hardly anything they can do about it.

Remarkably, the Texans convinced dozens of players to sign with them in free agency despite being a football wasteland. Apparently, linebacker was identified as the biggest position of need as Christian Kirksey, Jordan Jenkins, Kevin Pierre-Louis, Kamu Grugier-Hill, and Neville Hewitt were all brought in to fill that spot. Previous stars for the team in defensive end J.J. Watt and wide receiver Will Fuller V were part of the mass exodus of talent from Houston. Watt was replaced with Shaq Lawson, while Fuller was replaced by Anthony Miller; those are underwhelming fill-ins, to say the least. Quarterbacks Tyrod Taylor and Jeff Driskel were also brought in amidst a wave of sexual assault allegations against Deshaun Watson. Additionally, Mark Ingram, Rex Burkhead, and Phillip Lindsay were all brought in to take the ball away from David Johnson, the prized jewel of the Hopkins trade.

The Texans didn’t even have a strong draft class to hang their hat on. Their first and second-round picks were sent to the Dolphins in exchange for Laremy Tunsil, a solid if unspectacular offensive tackle. Their third-round selection was spent on Davis Mills, a big-bodied quarterback with below-average mobility but decent arm talent; he’s more a backup than a starter in this league. Nico Collins and Brevin Jordan are intriguing pass-catchers while Garret Wallow and Roy Lopez Jr. help fill out the front seven, but this is an underwhelming draft class.

Texans Odds Analysis

I’ve really enjoyed watching Vegas attempt to find the happy medium between disparaging this awful roster in terms of their odds for this season while not offering bettors too much value should some miracle happen in Houston. The Texans have the longest odds to make the Super Bowl at +30000. For reference, if you place $10 on Houston to win the Super Bowl and they somehow do accomplish that feat, you would win $3,000. So, if there’s any small piece of you that thinks that could maybe happen (which is crazy, by the way), perhaps you should put a little money on it. However, not even the sudden re-emergence of Deshaun Watson from his legal troubles could make this anything other than one of the worst teams in the NFL.

Playoffs are entirely out of the question as far as I’m concerned, and Vegas agrees as Houston has the worst odds to make the postseason at +800. Even the Bengals (+500) and Jets (+550), two of the worst teams, have significantly better odds. The Texans won the AFC South as recently as 2019 and have won the division in four of the last six years, but they won’t be taking it this year. Vegas has them at +2800 to win the AFC South, significantly lower than the Titans (-120), Colts (+180), and Jaguars (+550). The Texans also have the lowest projected win total at just four games, the exact number of games they won last year. Houston has a middle-of-the-pack schedule in terms of opponents’ combined 2020 win percentage, but perhaps they could steal a game or two from the Jaguars, Panthers, or Jets. Still, I’d bet on the under on this win total as I’d be surprised if Deshaun Watson suits up for Houston at quarterback at any point this season.

Reasons Why Texans Win Super Bowl

The Texans have never appeared in a Super Bowl since joining the NFL in 2002, and it’s just not going to happen this year. The roster has more holes than the pasta strainer I just used to make dinner, and it’s going to be a multi-year rebuild before this is even a playoff-caliber roster. The Texans employ one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL in Deshaun Watson, the NFL passing leader in 2020. However, he’s facing 22 civil lawsuits and ten criminal complaints alleging sexual misconduct. Even before the first lawsuit was filed, Watson was adamant about wanting to be traded.

Now it appears highly unlikely he ever takes another snap at quarterback for the Texans. Maybe he’ll play defense for the Texans this season, though? He’s been lining up at safety and defensive end in training camp – not joking. Despite that head-scratching decision by the Texans and a lack of talent on defense, it’s unlikely Watson is the team’s answer for their underwhelming defense. The Texans were once borderline Super Bowl contenders with Watson, DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller, J.J. Watt, and Jadeveon Clowney, among others. Still, those days are long gone, and the mass exodus of talent from Houston has left this team closer to competing for the #1 overall pick than a playoff berth.

Reason Why Texans Don’t Win Super Bowl

At some point, I’m going to start to sound like a broken record, so let’s try something different. Bill O’Brien was quoted as saying, “the success of an intervention depends on the interior condition of the intervenor.” The definition of intervention per Merriam Webster is “the act of interfering with the outcome or course especially of a condition or process (as to prevent harm or improve functioning).”

The Texans were a sinking ship with O’Brien as its captain, and the likes of David Culley and Nick Caseiro have been tasked with being the intervenors in this case. I do not doubt the personalities of these individuals, and perhaps they could be great at their job in different settings. However, the interior condition of the intervenor matters little in this case, as the level of work needed to intervene on this catastrophic franchise is far beyond any one person. It’s unlikely Culley and Caseiro will be around for long enough to see this team entirely right the ship. Still, I commend their bravery for taking over one of the worst sports situations I can ever remember witnessing.

NFL Super Bowl Odds

Jacob Wayne

I've been writing about sports for Lineups since the beginning of 2020 and on my own website since 2018. In May 2021, I graduated from the University of Michigan with a degree in sport management. As the United States embarks on an exciting journey towards the legalization of sports betting, I'm thrilled to have the opportunity to cover industry news, NFL and NBA odds, and more.

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