Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears NFL Player Props & Picks (9/25/22)

Get NFL player props and picks for the Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears matchup on (9/25/22)

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Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears Player Prop Picks

This week, one of the under-the-radar matchups is between the Texans and Bears. While neither team has Super Bowl aspirations or is likely even a playoff contender, they both have interesting narratives this season. In this article, I’ll break down my favorite player prop bets from this game. You can use the player prop search tool above to find the best values in your market. Let’s dive in.

David Montgomery Over 68.5 Rushing Yards

My only main page player prop from this game is on David Montgomery, and I love the value here. Montgomery picked up 122 yards on 15 carries last week (8.1 YPC) and he ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing yards over expected. This week, he faces a Texans defense that ranks 25th in rushing DVOA, and he ran for 113 yards on just 11 carries the last time he faced them. The Bears lead the NFL with a 65.9% rushing rate this year, and Montgomery will be heavily featured again. Montgomery should be able to run all over this Houston defense.

Dameon Pierce Over 60.5 Rushing Yards

This game is a complete throwback between two offenses who want to run everything through their running backs, and this is a great opportunity for Dameon Pierce to get going this week. The Bears rank 27th in rushing DVOA, and they are allowing 189.5 rushing yards per game, the most in the NFL. Pierce only ran for 69 yards last week, but it came against the eighth-ranked rushing defense by DVOA in the Broncos. After 15 carries last week, look for Dameon Pierce to be heavily involved once again in a plus matchup.

Justin Fields Over 176.5 Passing Yards

Yeah, I know. It’s been rough. Justin Fields only has 191 passing yards through two games this season. However, the circumstances have been tough. In the first game, the horrendous weather conditions weren’t conducive to the passing game. Last week, the Bears only ran 41 plays as they went just 1-7 on third down against an elite Packers defense. Things should be better this week against the Texans, and at a certain point, this new Bears regime has to push Fields to throw more so they can evaluate whether he is their long-term franchise quarterback.

Brandin Cooks Over 5.5 Catches

The Bears employ one of the best cornerbacks in the league in Jaylon Johnson who has a allowed just one catch for nine yards and a 42.4 passer rating. However, the Texans will be able to scheme Brandin Cooks away from Johnson. Cooks plays in the slot 26% of the time this season per PFF, where he will be facing Kyler Gordon. When he’s not in the slot, he plays on the right side 42% of the time, where he will see Kindle Vildor. Gordon and Vildor have allowed a combined 19 catches for 286 yards this year through two games. Perhaps Chicago will allow Johnson to shadow Cooks, but they haven’t done that often with him.

I've been writing about sports for Lineups since the beginning of 2020 and on my own website since 2018. In May 2021, I graduated from the University of Michigan with a degree in sport management. As the United States embarks on an exciting journey towards the legalization of sports betting, I'm thrilled to have the opportunity to cover industry news, NFL and NBA odds, and more.

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