The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a truly heartbreaking loss. They were up 25-9 on the Baltimore Ravens at one point on Monday Night Football, but the Ravens surged back and won in overtime 31-25. The team now sits at 1-4 and is in desperate need of a win to stay afloat in the AFC South. Meanwhile, the Houston Texans are no strangers to blown leads, as the team just allowed the New England Patriots to come back in a close 25-22 loss. When the two teams face off this Sunday, let’s take a look at what to expect in terms of player props.
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Search Tool
Carson Wentz over 233.5 Passing Yards
Even with the rough loss against the Ravens, Carson Wentz has looked strong this season. He’s only thrown one pick the entire season after leading the league last year. And he had a major performance on Monday Night Football, tossing for a career-high 402 yards and two touchdowns. The 233.5 total seems oddly low to me. The Texans haven’t exactly been shutting down opposing passers this year, allowing 257 yards per game. Wentz hasn’t been hitting 300 yards per game, but he’s gone over 233.5 in the majority of the team’s matchups. Expect him to pick apart the Houston Texans defense.
Brandin Cooks Over 66.5 Receiving Yards
Do the Houston Texans realize they have other receivers? Cooks has 44 targets in five games this season. The next most targeted receiver? RB David Johnson with 16. Clearly, Davis Mills and Tyrod Taylor find Cooks to be the star receiver in an otherwise limited WR corps. The receiver is averaging 78.4 yards per game, and I don’t see him slowing down in this matchup. Bank on rookie QB Davis Mills to stick with Cooks as a safety option.
Mark Ingram Under 35.5 Rushing Yards
As much as the team underutilizes their backup receivers, they really tend to ignore the running game. Outside of David Johnson contributing to the passing game, I haven’t seen much on the ground from Houston. This makes sense, given the fact that they’ve been behind in most of their games. And this will be no different. Even if they try to run early with Mark Ingram, I expect them to abandon it quickly to keep up with the Colts. If anything, Johnson will get more action due to his contributions to the passing game, so Ingram might not see the field too often this Sunday.
Davis Mills Over 0.5 Interceptions
Like most rookie passers, QB Davis Mills has a bit of a turnover problem. Just look at his dreadful performance against the Buffalo Bills, where he completed 52.4% of his passes with only 87 yards and four interceptions. A QBR of 0.8 is definitely not good for the old resume. Some bettors might overreact to his improved performance last week against the New England Patriots. I’m not buying it. Even though the Colts defense has been underperforming defensively throughout the year, Mills is too raw to avoid a turnover.