Colts Odds to Win Super Bowl 2021
Colts Odds to Win Super Bowl: +2400
Colts Win Total: 8.5
Colts Odds to Win Division: +135
Colts Odds to Win Conference: +1100
Colts Odds Analysis
The biggest hiccup of the Colts’ 2019-20 season came before games were played. The sudden retirement decision of quarterback Andrew Luck left what many felt could be a true AFC contender scrambling to fill a void at the most important position in football. Despite the best efforts of Jacoby Brissett, the Colts finished below .500 with a record of 7-9.
Optimism abounds in Indianapolis for the 2020-21 season. The addition of veteran QB Philip Rivers is one that Colts management and fans alike hope puts them in the thick of the AFC title hunt. Indianapolis has a win total of 8.5, and the team’s odds to win the AFC Championship sit at +1100, the 4th shortest on the board in the conference at FanDuel Sportsbook. The Colts also sit as the odds-on favorites to win what figures to be a dogfight in the AFC South division.
AFC South Betting Analysis
With divisional odds of +135, the Colts are the favorites, but it won’t be easy. Coming off a trip to the AFC Championship Game last season, the Tennessee Titans are close behind at +165. The Houston Texans may have lost receiver DeAndre Hopkins, but they are the defending division champs. At +300, they are by no means out of the mix. The longshot Jacksonville Jaguars bring up the rear at +2000.
With Philip Rivers, the Colts are poised to be the only team in the division who will have a new starting quarterback. The Titans inked Ryan Tannehill to a long-term deal and were able to successfully replace any names they lost in free agency. The Texans had one of the worst offseasons of any NFL team on paper, but so long as Deshaun Watson is playing behind a sturdy offensive line, they can’t be counted out.
Based on winning percentages from last year, the Colts have a strength of schedule just above the .500 mark, the second toughest among the three AFC South contenders. Divisional playthroughs pit the AFC South against the AFC and NFC North. None of those games will be easy, but none should be considered unwinnable for this talented Colts team. The back half of the 16-game regular season will prove critical for the Colts’ divisional hopes with five of their six AFC South matchups coming in that span. This includes two matchups against the Titans just 17 days apart and two against the Texans, separated by just 14 days. A Week 16 matchup at the Pittsburgh Steelers could also loom large when it comes to the AFC playoff picture.
Colts Offseason and Draft
The Colts experienced limited roster turnover compared to some teams around the NFL. Even so, several new additions via both free agency and the NFL Draft will prove critical to Indianapolis’ on-field success this season. Frank Reich and Chris Ballard believe they have the pieces in place to be a thorn in the side of fellow AFC contenders.
The noted strength of the Colts offense in recent years has been the offensive line. While Indy did lose tackle Joe Haeg and center Josh Andrews, they were able to successfully resign tackle Anthony Castonzo and guard Le’Raven Clark. Throughout his career in San Diego and Los Angeles, Philip Rivers notoriously played behind some very poor offensive lines. That won’t be an issue in Indianapolis.
The Colts are loaded at running back after taking Johnathan Taylor in the second round of the draft. He joins Marlon Mack and pass-catching specialist Nyheim Hines in forming a formidable trio, all with unique skillsets. Throw in Jordan Wilkins as a quality depth piece and the Colts may have one of the NFL’s most complete backfields.
Top wideout T.Y. Hilton will look to bounce back from an injury-marred 2019 season hat saw him miss six games. The Colts will also look for youngsters Parris Campbell and rookie second-round pick Michael Pittman Jr. to make an impact. Zach Pascal rounds out the receiving corps. Tight end Eric Ebron left as a free agent, but the capable Jack Doyle returns. The Colts signed Trey Burton to replace Ebron, with blocking specialist Mo-Allie Cox also capable of impacting a game as a receiver.
The Colts made a pair of massive additions to the defense in free agency, signing tackle DeForest Buckner away from the 49ers and adding former Vikings cornerback Xavier Rhodes. Along with star linebacker Darius Leonard and end Justin Houston, Buckner fortifies a stout defensive front seven. Rhodes struggled noticeably last season compared to his prime years in Minnesota. The departure of Pierre Desir leaves a hole to fill in the secondary, so the Colts will be relying heavily on Rhodes to regain his status as a lockdown cover corner in 2020. Indianapolis does have an abundance of talent at the safety position in Malik Hooker, Khari Willis, and rookie third-rounder Julian Blackmon.
– Offensive Line
– Depth at Offensive Skill Positions
– Defensive Front Seven
– Strong Coaching and Veteran Leadership
– Aging Quarterback
– Lack a Lockdown Cover Corner
– Injury Concerns for Several Offensive Playmakers
– Unknown at Kicker
The Colts have a lot of pieces in place to contend this season in the AFC. The move to bring in a veteran quarterback speaks volumes of the front office’s confidence that the team is ready to win now. Indianapolis is deep at many key positions, and both the offensive and defensive lines could be among the NFL’s best.
With the AFC South figuring to be a three-horse race, the Colts will need to peak in the second half of the season when they have four games against both the Titans and Texans. While Indianapolis is not my pick to win the division, I can’t argue with someone looking to back the team this year. The upside is that the price of +135 is much better than the -170 you’d have to lay on the Colts just making the playoffs in any fashion (division winner or Wild Card). The downer is that there is more betting value in the odds of both the Titans and Texans.
When it comes to other Colts futures wagering options, I like the team’s chances of finishing above .500. An over on the win total of 8.5 is very much in play.
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