Get Indianapolis Colts Vs. Dallas Cowboys player prop picks & odds for the (12/4/22) matchup.
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Indianapolis Colts Vs. Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Picks
On an NFL Week 13 slate chock full of exciting action, this Sunday Night Football game leaves a bit to be desired. With the Cowboys favored by 10.5 points, oddsmakers aren’t expecting this to be a back-and-forth, edge of your seat affair. However, we can up the ante and add some excitement in the player prop market.
In this article, I’ll go over some of my favorite player prop plays from this Sunday Night Football game. You can use the Colts vs. Cowboys player prop search tool above to compare odds from different sportsbooks on the player props you like the most. Be sure to check out our main player prop page for more plays, as well. Let’s get to work.
CeeDee Lamb Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)
The ascension of CeeDee Lamb has been swift, and he’s suddenly one of the best wide receivers in the NFL. Since Dak Prescott returned from his injury, Lamb has averaged 89.6 receiving yards per game. He ranks second in the NFL with an absurd 30.3% team target share, and perhaps most impressively, he only has four drops on 94 targets.
This week, we’re getting a reduced number on Lamb’s receiving yardage due to the Cowboys being 10.5-point favorites against the Colts. However, Indianapolis has the 11th-ranked run defense by DVOA, making them the best run defense the Cowboys have faced in quite a while. As a result, expect Lamb to be involved throughout the game.
Lamb will also be going up against slot cornerback Kenny Moore most often, and he’s had a rough year. He’s allowing the second-highest passer rating in the slot among corners with 150+ coverage snaps. Lamb should be able to take advantage with another big game, and I wouldn’t be shocked if he finishes with 100+ yards in primetime.
Jonathan Taylor Longest Rush Over 16.5 Yards (-105 DraftKings)
The Cowboys have a vaunted defense, but it does have one notable weakness, which is allowing explosive runs. Dallas has allowed the fifth-most yards before contact to running backs, and as a result, they rank 29th in explosive rush defense, per TruMedia. PFF has their overall run defense graded as just the 27th-best unit.
Jonathan Taylor has had an up-and-down season, but he’s been good for at least one long run lately as he’s gone over this prop in three of his last four games. To help combat against Dallas’s elite pass rush, Indianapolis will likely remain run-heavy throughout the game, so Taylor could hit this prop at any time.
Matt Ryan Under 215.5 Passing Yards (-115 DraftKings)
Welcome to the machine, Matt Ryan. The Dallas pass rush has been otherworldly. They get pressure on 45% of opponents’ early down dropbacks in the first three quarters; no other team is hitting 40%, and the NFL average is 32%.The Cowboys lead the NFL in pressure rate, and Ryan will be in a bind behind the second-worst offensive line by adjusted sack rate.
It’s not all blitzes and schemed pressures for Dallas, either, as they still get pressure at a 42% rate. When not blitzed, Ryan is only throwing the ball an average of 5.96 air yards, which ranks 37th out of 38 quarterbacks with 100+ attempts. Against a high-level secondary and likely under constant duress, this is an obvious game in which you should fade Matt Ryan.,