2021 Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview
The Jaguars were the worst team in the NFL last season as they lost 15 straight games after upsetting their division rival Colts in Week 1. However, this offseason has been one of massive transformation and the new-look Jaguars will look to compete in what should be a wide-open AFC South.
New quarterback Trevor Lawrence and new head coach Urban Meyer figure to elevate this offense right away, while new defensive coordinator Joe Cullen has plenty of talent to work with. Lawrence will benefit from D.J. Chark, Marvin Jones, Laviska Shenault, James Robinson, and Travis Etienne filling out his skill position group.
Jacksonville had one of the worst defenses in the league last year, but there’s a lot of young talent on this team that should help them turn things around. Josh Allen and K’Lavon Chaisson will form a potent pass-rush duo, Myles Jack and Joe Schobert lock down the linebacker group, and a remade cornerback room should work wonders for the pass defense.
The Jaguars haven’t made the playoffs since 2017, but this influx of talent in both the roster and coaching staff could put this team back in postseason contention this year.
2020 Jacksonville Jaguars Team Stats
Points For: 306 (19.1 per game), 30th of 32
Points Against: 492 (30.8 per game), 31st of 32
Passing Yards Per Game: 231.2
Rushing Yards Per Game: 94.9
Passing Yards Allowed Per Game: 264.4
Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game: 153.3
Key Offseason Transactions
The Jaguars made a ton of noise this offseason as they shuffled lots of parts of their roster. In addition to D.J. Chark and second-year pro Laviska Shenault, veteran Marvin Jones was added to the pass-catching corps. Trevor Lawrence comes in as one of the most-hyped quarterback prospects in recent memory, and the Clemson product should feel right at home in new head coach Urban Meyer’s offense. Jacksonville also brought in his college teammate, running back Travis Etienne, to fill a multi-purpose role in the offense.
In addition to the solid pass-catching weapons, Jacksonville has an impressive three-headed backfield. Etienne joined James Robinson, a UDFA who ran for over 1,000 yards last year, and a veteran signing Carlos Hyde. The offensive line should be pretty solid, especially after the Jaguars resigned Andrew Norwell and Cam Robinson.
Jacksonville did a great job of remaking their secondary this offseason after ranking bottom-five in both passing yards and touchdowns allowed last year. Veteran signing Shaquill Griffin will provide some consistency next to Tre Herndon and second-year pro-C.J. Henderson. At the same time, this year’s draft picks cornerbacks Tyson Campbell, and safety Andre Cisco provides depth and upside.
The Jaguars’ defensive line added some reinforcements in Malcolm Brown, Jihad Ward, and Roy Robertson-Harris in free agency. Those guys should play key roles with incumbents Josh Allen, K’Lavon Chaisson, Dawuane Smoot, Adam Gotsis, and Taven Bryan. New defensive coordinator Joe Cullen should be excited to work with this group.
2020 Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Stats
ATS +/-: -3.8
Total +/-: +0.9
2021 Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Outlook
The Jaguars were not a team you wanted to bet on last season in the midst of their 15-game losing streak, but they did surprisingly well against the spread as they went 7-9 in that department. Jacksonville could provide some betting value again this season as their division features the Titans and Colts, two talented but beatable teams, as well as the Texans, one of the worst teams in the NFL.
In addition to a division full of teams, Jacksonville can cover the spread against, the Jaguars face the 13th-easiest schedule in the NFL. That schedule includes the Broncos, Cardinals, Bengals, Falcons, and Jets, all of whom were the worst or second-worst teams in their division last year.
It was difficult to bank on any consistency from the Jaguars’ offense last year, and that’s reflected in their 8-8 record in over/under. Vegas will likely still need some time to adjust to the new-look Jacksonville offense, so betting the overs in their early-season games could be a prudent strategy. Please don’t get too excited, though, as Lawrence could go through some growing pains despite his unbelievable talent.
2021 Jacksonville Jaguars Super Bowl Odds
One of just four teams to never win a Super Bowl, Jacksonville will be hoping Lawrence can deliver the team its first title since it joined the NFL as an expansion team in 1995. The Jaguars currently have the fifth-worst odds to win the Super Bowl, however, at +12500. No rookie quarterback has ever won a Super Bowl, and it’s quite rare for a first-year head coach to accomplish that feat as well. At the moment, the Colts (+2800) and Titans (+3000) have much better odds to win the Super Bowl in the AFC South, while the Texans (+30000) have the longest odds to win the Super Bowl in the NFL.
2021 Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Odds
While I wouldn’t bet on the Jaguars to win the Super Bowl, their playoff odds are very enticing at +340. The Jaguars have the third-best odds to win their division, the AFC South, at +700. Only five teams have worse odds to make the playoffs than the Jaguars, and I don’t believe they are the sixth-worst team in the NFL. In an expanded 7-game slate of teams in the AFC playoffs, Jacksonville likely only needs to win 8-9 games to make the playoffs, and that mark is very obtainable given the talent on their roster. It may take some time for the new pieces to come together, but I love this team as a dark-horse playoff contender.
2021 Jacksonville Jaguars Win Total Odds
The Jaguars are currently listed at 6 wins for their win total for the season, and that’s far too low as far as I’m concerned. I get it – this team only won 1 game last year and hasn’t won more than 6 games since 2017. However, the likes of Blake Bortles, Gardner Minshew, and Jake Luton have ushered this team through mediocrity, and Lawrence boosts their upside considerably. The Jaguars could snipe 3 wins in their division alone, especially given how bad the Texans appear. Jacksonville is set for a complete shift in franchise dynamic, and it could begin early this season.
2021 Jacksonville Jaguars Players Future Odds
The only rookie to win the NFL MVP was Jim Brown in 1957, but Trevor Lawrence could be the second all-time this season. He’s currently listed at to win MVP and has the same odds as quarterbacks Daniel Jones, Jared Goff, and Taysom Hill. James Robinson is listed at +15000 for MVP. Lawrence has a much better chance at winning Offensive Rookie of the Year, and he’s currently the favorite at around to win OROY. Fellow Clemson product Travis Etienne is listed at to win OROY. Tyson Campbell is listed at to win Defensive Rookie of the Year, and Andre Cisco is listed at .
There are a few players on the Jaguars with decent Offensive Player of the Year odds, but the team will spread the ball around too much for anyone to dominate. James Robinson and Travis Etienne are listed at , as is veteran signing Marvin Jones. D.J. Chark is listed at +12500 and has the best odds on the team. For Defensive Player of the Year, Josh Allen is listed at , as is C.J. Henderson. Perhaps the best bet on this team is Urban Meyer to win Coach of the Year at +1400, the third-highest odds for that award.
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