Jerick McKinnon Super Bowl MVP odds are . When the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LVII, we will crown the well-deserved champion after a season long effort. Not only will we have a new Super Bowl champion, but we will have a Super Bowl MVP as well. Among players with a shot to win Super Bowl MVP is Chiefs running back Jerick McKinnon. In what is a typical quarterback driven award, can a skill player take home the hardware?
Jerick McKinnon Super Bowl MVP Odds
Jerick McKinnon came into the season in a crowded running back room, but seemed to carve out a role throughout the season once Clyde Edwards-Helaire went down with an injury. Not only did he benefit from a larger share, but he also benefits from the Chiefs maintaining an elite pass attack that gives him bigger openings through the gaps when they choose to run it.
The harsh reality is that they still run multiple running backs with Isiah Pacheco getting a brunt of the share as well. That isn’t to say that McKinnon is not able to break out of his own with a big game as the Eagles possess a weak rush defense that the Chiefs are sure to try to exploit.
He was heavily featured in their first playoff game when Mahomes went down with an injury, getting 11 carries. He didn’t turn those carries into anything respectable, but the Chiefs needed to rely on him nonetheless.
How Jerick McKinnon can win the award
The cards are heavily stacked against McKinnon but when there is a will there is a way. Not only does he face competition in the backfield, but the history of the Super Bowl MVP does not bode well for running backs either. A running back has not won the prestigious award since Terrell Davis in Super Bowl XXXII who finished the game with 157 yards and three touchdowns on 30 carries.
McKinnon will not see anywhere near the same workload that Davis did, but that does not mean he can not optimize the chances he is given. The Eagles have mightily struggled in defending the run, finishing the season ranked 21st in Defensive Rush DVOA.
Andy Reid is one of the brightest offensive minds in football and now gets two weeks until the big game to figure out an effective game plan against the Eagles vaunted defense. While their pass attack finished first in Off Pass DVOA, we can be sure to expect Reid to lean a little heavier on the run than what we have been accustomed to.
How Jerick McKinnon can not win the award
Unfortunately McKinnon has just not seen enough usage to really build a case for a heavier workload in the most important game of the season. To no fault of his own as Pacheco has really stepped up as their more consistent running back.
Even against a below average rush defense, McKinnon will not get enough carries to make an impact that overshadows Mahomes production. He has given us no reason to believe he can break out multiple large gains as McKinnon has not rushed for more than 53 yards in a game this season.
Not only has Pacheco taken away precious opportunities from McKinnon, but he has also been slightly featured more in passing situations. This adds to a long list of weapons that are more likely to see the ball thrown their way with Kelce, MVS, Hardman, and Toney all being thrown into the mold as well.
This is an immediate pass for me as there are far more viable options that will be featured more in the Chiefs offensive game plan.
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