Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Odds 2022

Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Odds 2022

The 2020 season didn’t end exactly how the Kansas City Chiefs wanted, but they still made it to another Super Bowl. They were eventually bested by Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Still, like the Bucs, the Chiefs will be returning most of their key players from last season and even improving their offensive line after an off-season overhaul. Right now, sportsbooks are bullish on the Chiefs to secure a Super Bowl win this year as they have often been given the best odds. Since Kansas City returns all of its primary offensive weapons and has added several game-changing offensive linemen, it is expected that it will be able to make another Super Bowl run.

Kansas City Chiefs Team Future Odds

  • Super Bowl Odds:
  • To Win AFC:
  • To Win AFC West:
  • To Earn AFC #1 Seed:
  • To Make Playoffs:

Offseason Changes

Kansas City did exactly what it needed to do in free agency: ensure its core players returned and additionally solidify weakened areas, including its offensive line. Many experts believe the Chiefs had one of, if not the best, off-seasons out of every team in the NFL. The Chiefs are still a Super Bowl-caliber team that no longer has a whole lot of weaknesses to be concerned about now.

The Chiefs parted ways with Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz but made sure to replace them with Orlando Brown Jr., who they traded for with the Baltimore Ravens in exchange for a first-rounder. He is a great tackle who can provide instant help to an offense that highly values its pass protection.

Another massive move in the Chiefs’ offensive line overhaul was the signing of Joe Thuney in free agency. Thuney proved he is consistently a top 5 offensive guard during his time in New England, which should be transferable to Kansas City.

A player that did not necessarily represent an external offseason change but rather an internal one is Mecole Hardman, who will step into Sammy Watkins’ shoes this year. Since Watkins has departed from Kansas City, Hardman will be relied upon to step into a more prominent role in his third year in the NFL. There is a lot of hype surrounding the speedster Hardman, and many believe he is ready to take the next step forward in his career.

Chiefs Odds Analysis

Today, the Kansas City Chiefs have the best odds of winning the Super Bowl at +500. They are just ahead of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who have odds at +600 on some sportsbooks, including PointsBet. The Chiefs are heavy favorites to win the AFC West (-275) and make the playoffs (-1099). Right now, the Chiefs have +650 odds of missing out on the playoffs if some unforeseen circumstance arises that jeopardize their season. Additionally, the line on their win total is set at 12.5 games (+120 for over, -140 for under.) For the Chiefs to hit the over, they would have to win 13 of their 17 games.

If there is one bet I would stay away from here, it would be the Chiefs to make the playoffs at -1099. Now, this in no way means that I have anything less than complete confidence in Kansas City. However, the risk is far too significant at -1099 to justify putting money on it. I like the Chiefs at +500 to win the Super Bowl and -275 to win the AFC West because there is more value there, in my opinion. Regarding the over/under bet, I would stay away from that because the margin of error for the Chiefs is relatively small. In their first two games, they face the Cleveland Browns and the Baltimore Ravens. Both of those squads are bordering on being considered elite-level teams. They also have to go up against the Buffalo Bills, Green Bay Packers, and Tennessee Titans during the regular season. While I see the Chiefs winning 13 games on the dot, there’s still a lot that could happen, including injuries or cold streaks.

Reasons Why Chiefs Win Super Bowl

There are more than enough reasons to believe that the Chiefs will secure another Super Bowl win. First and foremost, it is hard to identify any offense with better weapons than Patrick Mahomes, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce. Objectively, this means the Chiefs have the best quarterback, the best tight-end, a Top 5 wide receiver, and a top-tier running back to power their offense. Kansas City also revamped its offensive line by trading for Orlando Brown Jr., whose niche is pass protection. He is a perfect fit for the style of play in this Chiefs offense and should become a best friend for Pat Mahomes. Additionally, the Chiefs made a massive move in free agency by signing guard Joe Thuney. Kansas City has depth at every position offensively, and the overhaul on its O-line was the best thing it could have done this off-season.

Kansas City has just enough firepower to hold off opposing offenses on the other side of the ball. Chris Jones and Tyrann Mathieu are elite defensive players and will provide leadership to a Chiefs defense that lacks depth and experience in some positions. Regardless, Kansas City doesn’t have to shut teams down completely; they just need to contain them.

Reason Why Chiefs Don’t Win Super Bowl

Tampa Bay is certainly a reason to believe that the Kansas City Chiefs won’t win the Super Bowl this year. The Bucs are returning every starter from their championship run, including the greatest of all time, Tom Brady. Brady knows a thing or two about creating a winning culture within an organization, and every player on Tampa Bay now knows what it takes to get to a Super Bowl and win.

Another primary concern regarding the Chiefs’ run at a Super Bowl is how many teams now have the firepower to compete with them. Outside of Tampa Bay, the Chiefs also have to worry about Green Bay, Tennessee, Buffalo, Cleveland, Baltimore, Los Angeles, and Seattle.

If the Chiefs play football how they can, then, in theory, there is no better team. However, the last reason the Chiefs wouldn’t win the Super Bowl would be any unexpected injuries, which we all know is impossible to avoid. We hope that the Chiefs will stay completely healthy, but the NFL is a physical league, and you never know what can happen.

Matthew is a UC Berkeley economic and philosophy graduate. He has played DFS, Football pools, and survival leagues for most of his adult life. Matthew brings to the table great strategies for both your GPP and Cash plays as well as a winning track record with his picks of the week.

Hot Betting Odds Stories