The current Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl odds are . Contrary to what Travis Kelce has preached since their Super Bowl win, oddsmakers did not think the Kansas City Chiefs would miss the playoffs. They went into the season top-2 in the Super Bowl Odds market and finished the year out on top after thwarting the Eagles in the big game to get Mahomes his second championship ring. With the 2023 season underway, a return to the Super Bowl remains realistic.
Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Odds 2023-2024
|Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Odds & Futures||Odds (Updated November 2023)|
|Super Bowl 57 Odds|
|AFC Winner Odds|
|AFC West Odds|
|To Make Playoffs Odds|
|Chiefs Win Total Odds|
Even after a sluggish offensive start to the season, the Chiefs are among the Super Bowl 58 favorites, just behind the 49ers and ahead of the Eagles. Kansas City’s offense had a challenging start to the year, even after the return of Kelce, but the defense has looked excellent with and without Chris Jones. Oddsmakers are putting their trust in Mahomes to figure out the offense, and they were validated when the Chiefs hung 41 points on the Bears in Week 3, although things have been fairly uneven for Kansas City in the weeks since then.
Even as a favorite, the Chiefs have more question marks than normal as they deal with the challenge of having Matt Nagy as your offensive coordinator with Eric Bieniemy now in Washington. Granted, head coach Andy Reid runs the offense, making this transition theoretically an easy one, but the early results have been mixed.
Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl Odds Analysis
Even without Bieniemy and issues at the wide receiver position, Patrick Mahomes continues to be the reason the Chiefs are well positioned to compete for another championship. His arm talent hasn’t gone anywhere, and the return of Kelce gives him his go-to target that should allow the young receivers more time to get up to speed.
Kelce played a major part in helping Mahomes ease into the new system as Kelce lives and breathes for production across the middle. Kelce has a knack for finding the open gaps in the defense, continuing his success as the best pass catching big man in the league. Even with a lack of weapons on the outside and more shadow coverage on both sides, Kelce still maintained elite metrics last season to help propel the Chiefs to a Super Bowl win.
Speaking of Mahomes and Kelce, the star-studded duo caught a bye week at the perfect time with both dealing with playable injuries. Kelce suffered a freak non-contact leg injury mid reception while Mahomes ankle issue has continued to persist him. The bye also comes off of an international trip in Germany where they got a win over the Dolphins. The Chiefs have maintained a high standard, but are a half-game behind the Baltimore Ravens for the AFC’s top seed after losing a Super Bowl rematch against the Eagles, so they’ll have to keep pushing all season long if they want that all-important bye
The Chiefs health is about the only thing that can derail their path to the AFC Championship Game at this point as they are a very well-rounded elite unit. This is the first time in the Chiefs Mahomes era where they have a top-5 defense per DVOA, making them, in some ways, even scarier than their former Super Bowl winning teams, which usually had an average defense at best. Their front seven still struggles to defend the run, but their pass coverage grades out very well in Def Pass DVOA, EPA, and Success Rate.
With the best defense of the Reid era and Mahomes still at the helm, it’s no surprise that the Chiefs are one of the top-2 favorites to win the Super Bowl per their current Super Bowl odds. Even with Mahomes struggling as of late, there is enough tape to show that he can turn it on in an instant when it matters most in the playoffs. The AFC is as loaded as ever, making their current odds a pass as they would need to make it all the way to guarantee a profit.
Reasons Why the Kansas City Chiefs Can and Can’t Win the Super Bowl
- Patrick Mahomes remains the most talented quarterback in the NFL
- The defense is firing on all cylinders and has depth
- Andy Reid can get the most out of what he has with a lack of playmakers
- There is nothing close to a legitimate No. 1 wide receiver
- OT Jawaan Taylor has struggled early in his tenure with the Chiefs
- The offense is overly reliant on 34-year-old Travis Kelce
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