Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants Player Props (11/1/21)

The Giants and Chiefs are set to showdown this Monday under the lights of Arrowhead in a game that could make or break both teams’ seasons. The Chiefs aim to right the ship of a lost season before it’s too late while the Giants look to string together consecutive wins for the first time all year. Below, I outline some of the most promising player props in this week’s primetime matchup.

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Mecole Hardman Over 3.5 Receptions

Mecole Hardman comes into the weekend averaging just over four receptions a game. In all but three games this season he has put up at least four receptions, and in the three most recent games he is averaging close to six grabs an outing. The Giants, on the other hand, are in the bottom third of the league in total passing defense and number of receptions allowed. This is the perfect spot for Hardman, at the very least, to achieve what he’s been averaging all season. The Monday night time slot also provides Patrick Mahomes and the offense some much needed extra rest and preparation to bounce back after a bludgeoning at the hands of the Titans.

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Patrick Mahomes Over 37.5 Passing Attempts

As bad as this Chiefs team has looked in recent weeks, their passing offense is still top four in the league total yards, and second in the league in pass attempts behind only Tampa Bay. Over the course of his career, Patrick Mahomes has averaged over 39 pass attempts a game and this season alone he is averaging just shy of 42. The Giants defense ranks in the bottom half of the league in nearly every major passing statistic and Andy Reid is the perfect coach to exploit a defense who’s playing catch up. Every update on Patrick Mahomes’ injury status seems more optimistic than the last, and the team’s season is effectively on the line this weekend in a primetime spot — a situation in which the team leans on Mahomes historically.

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Daniel Jones Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

This Chiefs defense is no juggernaut but two passing touchdowns in one game is a lot to ask of a guy who has only had 5 all season. As of late, Jones has become more so defined by his ability to run in the triple option than his ability to throw in the red zone. While a couple chunk yardage breakout runs are quite possible in this one — another prop I like is Daniel Jones over 28 rushing yards — two passing touchdowns is a real stretch, especially when you factor in the Giants scoring woes as of late. As of week 8, no team in the NFL scores at a lower rate in the end zone.

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Travis Kelce Over 6.5 Receptions

Travis Kelce is in the midst of another monster year, averaging 76 yards and 6.4 receptions per game. In a must win game for this Kansas city team against a defense who’s struggled to defend teams with accurate quarterbacks and weapons, such as the Ram and Cowboys, expect Kelce to get a lot of targets. Kelce and this offense has feasted this year on the NFC East and the Giants simply don’t have the weapons in their arsenal to defend a big dynamic player like Kelce, especially when attention must be paid to Hill, Hardman, and Williams on the perimeter. This Chiefs offense is due for an explosion in one of the biggest “back against the wall” games of Mahomes’ career. I expect the Giants to regress this week after a big emotional win, and Chief’s skill players to be the primary benefactors of this regression.

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Patrick started covering the sports betting scene in March of 2021 as a member of the Loyola Phoenix. Since then, his industry analysis has been featured on websites such as Lineups.com and Daily Fantasy Cafe, where he has focused primarily on the NFL and individual state launches. As the current Assistant Site Runner of Lineups.com, Patrick aims to give more people access to information that may offer some insight into why teams build the way they do and what that means for any given matchup.

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