Key Line Movement For NFL Week 12 Games

Each week, the NFL can deliver surprising results and key injuries that impact betting lines going into the next week. Early action from professional and amateur bettors can also move these lines as the public reacts to Sunday’s performances. 

Below, we’ll break down any significant line movement for NFL Week 12 games compared to the lookahead lines prior to Week 11 games. We also touch on changes with the total and moneyline to help you find value when considering bets for NFL Week 12 action at sportsbook apps

NFL Week 12 Line Movement

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: Minnesota Vikings -155 on Caesars

  • Some had left the Bears for dead after the team dropped consecutive games to the Cardinals and Patriots without scoring a touchdown. After firing offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, Chicago’s offense looked much improved against the Packers, and now the Bears will host another divisional foe. They have moved from five-point underdogs on the lookahead line to 3.5-point dogs at most books following a 20-19 loss to Green Bay that would have been a win if not for a tipped field goal attempt at the buzzer. The Bears lost starting guard Ryan Bates (concussion) in Week 11.

Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders: Minnesota Vikings -155 on Caesars

  • Bo Nix turned in the best game of his rookie campaign with 307 passing yards and four touchdowns, and Denver’s defense stifled visiting Atlanta for a 38-6 win in Week 11. The Raiders, meanwhile, suffered a 31-19 loss in Miami after their bye week and have shifted from three-point underdogs to home dogs of 4.5 or 5.5 points ahead of their divisional matchup with Denver in Week 12. The total shifted down from 41.5 to 40.5 points with Raiders running backs Alex Mattison (ankle) and Zamir White (quad) both injured in Week 11. The spread movement is partially due to additional injuries to Raiders cornerbacks Jakorian Bennett (shoulder) and Jack Jones (back).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -267 on Caesars

  • Both of these teams were on byes in Week 11, but the Bucs have still gained some steam, with the spread moving from 3 to 4.5 points in favor of the road team. The total has also dropped from 43 to 41.5 points with both teams idle. The Giants’ offense struggled in Germany in a Week 10 loss to the lowly Panthers, failing to score in the first half and finishing with three turnovers. The Bucs played the 49ers close in a 26-23 home loss in Week 10 and could get some key players back from injury in Week 12. 

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (-112) on BetRivers

  • There are some discrepancies on the spread for this Thursday Night Football divisional matchup, but the line is generally moving in favor of the Steelers. Pittsburgh has gone from 3.5-point favorites to 4.5-point favorites at most books but has only shifted from 3 to 3.5 points at others. The Browns’ defense got run over by the Saints in Week 11, and their offensive line didn’t show much improvement following a Week 10 bye. Cleveland lost left tackle Dawand Jones (leg) for the season, and top cornerback Denzel Ward (chest) will be questionable on a short week. The Steelers failed to find the end zone but beat the Ravens 18-16 in their first division game of the year in Week 11. The total has seen significant movement ahead of this AFC North clash. It opened at 43 in the preseason, was down to 41 on the lookahead line, and is now down to 38.5 points at some books. 

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins: Miami Dolphins -360 on DraftKings

  • Miami’s offense is starting to get on track with Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) back from an extended absence, and that’s led to movement on the spread and total ahead of this Week 12 AFC East matchup. Miami has moved across a key number from 6.5-point favorites to 7.5-point favorites after the Patriots lost 28-22 at home to the Rams. The total has shifted from 43 to 45.5 points after the Dolphins produced 353 total yards with four touchdowns in a Week 11 home win over the Raiders.

Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts: Detroit Lions -350 on Bet365

  • Detroit scored 52 points for the second time this season and is the only team to have reached that total this year. The Lions have moved across a key number from 6.5-point favorites to 7.5-point favorites despite suffering a couple of key injuries on defense. Linebacker Alex Anzalone (arm) will miss six to eight weeks, and newly acquired edge rusher Za’Darius Smith limped off the field in the second quarter of a Week 11 blowout win. The Colts switched back to Anthony Richardson at quarterback and pulled out a 28-27 win at the Jets in Week 11. 

Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams: Philadelphia Eagles -157 on BetRivers

  • This game has seen only a small, but vital, shift at some books. The Eagles have gained enough steam to move from 2.5-point favorites to the key number of three points. Some books are still offering the Eagles at +2.5 on extended rest after they came alive late to down Washington by a score of 26-18 in Week 10. 

Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Chargers: Baltimore Ravens -160 on Bet365

  • The Chargers dominated the first half and held on to beat the Bengals on Sunday night and are home in primetime for a second straight week. The Ravens lost linebacker Roquan Smith (hamstring) and saw star safety Kyle Hamilton aggravate his ankle injury in their loss at Pittsburgh. Results and injuries have caused this game to move off the key number of three, with the Ravens now favorites of 2.5 or two points, depending on the book. The Chargers’ defense gave up 21 unanswered points to the Bengals in the second half with linebacker Denzel Perryman (groin) and cornerback Cam Hart (concussion) injured, while Khalil Mack missed the game with a groin injury. 
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