Key NFL Player Props For Week 9: David Montgomery And More

We’re just over the halfway point of the 2024-25 NFL season, and there is a great slate on tap for Week 9. With a variety of NFL player props available, we picked five of our favorite looks to consider, with a few options to bet on each player listed below. 

Our picks include options for overs, unders, and same-game parlays involving the players listed below. Place your bets with your favorite US sportsbook app.

David Montgomery Week 9 Player Prop Bets (DET @ GB)

Rushing Yards:

• This will be the first outdoor game for the Lions all season, and the forecast calls for steady rain with winds. That could lead to a heavier workload for Montgomery against a vulnerable Green Bay run defense. The big back has been victimized by game script to a degree, with the Lions winning several blowouts over the past few weeks. He could see more snaps and rush attempts than Jahmyr Gibbs in this matchup, given the conditions. 

Rush Attempts:

• Montgomery averaged 16.3 attempts on the road last season compared to 14.8 at home. He produced solid rushing totals in three of Detroit’s four regular season games outdoors, with his sole flop coming against what was then an elite Bucs run defense. Detroit is posting a 56% rush-play rate on the road this season compared to a 46% rush-play rate at home. Montgomery dominated the Packers with 32 carries for 132 yards and three touchdowns in a trip to Lambeau last September. Consider a same-game parlay on Montgomery to top these props and score a touchdown.

Josh Downs Week 9 Player Prop Bets (IND @ MIN)

Receiving Yards:

• The Colts are turning back to Joe Flacco, and that should spell success for their top receivers. Downs is coming off a big game (four receptions, 109 yards) with Anthony Richardson under center, and he’s averaged 72.3 receiving yards per game in Flacco’s two starts this season. Minnesota has shut down the run and is forcing opponents to pass at the highest rate (67.4%) in the league this season. Flacco has averaged 41 pass attempts in his starts compared to 25.8 pass attempts from Richardson when he’s started. 

Receptions:

• Downs has drawn 30 targets over Flacco’s three appearances this season and has caught at least seven in all three games. The Vikings have a blitz-heavy defense that will likely seek to force the ball out of Flacco’s hands, and Downs has been his favorite target on underneath throws. 

Gardner Minshew Week 9 Player Prop Bets (LV @ CIN)

Passing + Rushing Yards:

• The Bengals’ defense struggled to stop the run earlier this season but has been much better up front since getting defensive tackles Sheldon Rankins and B.J. Hill back in the lineup. Cincinnati is in a desperate spot at home and needs to hold up defensively given the injuries to its offensive line and Tee Higgins (quad), who should remain out. There is rain in the forecast, and Minshew has struggled with ball security, committing 11 turnovers this season. Minshew averaged just 4.5 yards per attempt in his last road start, which came in sunny California against a below-average Rams defense. He was benched in that outing and could lose snaps to Desmond Ridder if he struggles in this road tilt. 

Jake Ferguson Week 9 Player Prop Bets (DAL @ ATL)

Receiving Yards:

• Dallas is passing at the second-highest rate in the NFL this season and hasn’t had much success lately against opponents with elite pass rushers. Luckily for Dak Prescott and his receivers, Atlanta has the second-worst pass rush in the NFL this season per multiple metrics. Ferguson should be able to run more routes instead of blocking in a matchup against Atlanta, which just allowed Bucs tight end Cade Otton to log nine catches for 81 yards and two touchdowns. Ferguson averaged just 3.7 yards per reception on nine catches in tough matchups over the Cowboys’ last two games. In his previous three outings, he averaged 6.3 catches for 71.3 yards per game, so his average depth of target should be much better this week. 

D’Andre Swift Week 9 Player Prop Bets (CHI @ ARI)

Rushing + Receiving Yards:

• Swift has become the unquestioned leader of the Bears’ backfield, with a 73% snap rate over their last two outings. He has totaled at least 119 scrimmage yards in four straight games and was sitting at 73 rushing yards before he broke a 56-yard touchdown in a slugfest at Washington in Week 8. The Commanders held Swift without a catch — they’re the top defense this year in terms of limiting receptions to running backs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 42 receptions to backs, and Swift caught 13 of 13 targets while running routes on 44% of dropbacks over his previous three games. He’s averaging 5.1 yards per touch this season and has totaled between 18 and 23 touches in four straight outings.