The AFC West is full of intrigue this season, with four teams with winning records through the first five weeks of the season. The Broncos and Raiders both started 3-0 but are coming off two straight losses and have questions to answer on both sides of the ball. In Denver, the Broncos had beaten the Raiders four consecutive times before a loss last season, and they will be hoping for retribution in this game. These teams have very solid defenses, but there can still be some great value on betting on player props in this game. Let’s take a look at the best bets available.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos Player Prop Search Tool
Derek Carr Under 264.5 Passing Yards
The Raiders have seen a hot start to the season offensively dissipate in recent weeks as Derek Carr struggled to complete passes downfield as he saw heavy pressure against the Chargers and Bears. He’ll be under fire again this week against the Broncos, who feature Von Miller along with a talented crop of pass-rushers. Carr has averaged just 201 passing yards per game over the past two weeks, and the Broncos have allowed just 207 passing yards per game this season. Carr is undoubtedly capable of putting up huge numbers like he showed earlier this year, but on the road against a top defense, I’m not expecting a big game for him.
Courtland Sutton Over 4.5 Receptions
The Broncos’ top wide receiver has looked great in his return from an ACL injury last season, and I have complete confidence in backing him against the Raiders. Sutton has averaged nine targets and six receptions over the past four weeks, and that includes one game where the Broncos shut out the Jets and didn’t need to throw the ball and one game where Drew Lock played significant minutes. With the much more efficient Teddy Bridgewater under center, Jerry Jeudy still on Injured Reserve, and a Raiders team capable of keeping this game close, Sutton will be essential and should hit at least five catches.
Josh Jacobs Under 52.5 Rushing Yards
The Raiders have the fifth-worst run-blocking offensive line in the NFL this season per Football Outsiders, and an offseason full of changes has not helped the running game in Vegas. Josh Jacobs has yet to surpass 50 rushing yards in any of his three games this year, and he now faces a Denver team that allows just 85.4 rushing yards per game, the sixth-fewest in the NFL, and 3.7 yards per carry, the fifth-fewest in the NFL. The mismatch between the Vegas O-line and the Denver D-line will be the story in this game, and it will result in Jacobs having a mediocre day overall.
Brandon McManus Over 1.5 Field Goals Made
In his last four games against the Raiders, Brandon McManus has averaged 2.75 field goals. McManus also has at least two field goals in four of his five games this season. While this game does have one of the lowest over-under totals of the week, Denver has an implied points total of 24 points, and I don’t expect them to be able to finish every drive with a touchdown this week with a red-zone touchdown rate of just 42.1%, the fourth-lowest in the NFL. McManus should get two or more field goals quite easily in this game.