The NFL treated us with this heated divisional rematch between two teams who met in Week 18 last season, and I’m very excited to watch some superstar talent face off on Sunday afternoon. There is plenty of value in the player props markets in this game, and we’re focusing on that here. You can use the Raiders vs. Chargers player prop search tool below to find the best values for any given market.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Search Tool
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Justin Herbert Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
I can’t believe we’re getting plus money value on this prop after Justin Herbert threw for three touchdowns in both of his games against the Raiders last year. Las Vegas added Chandler Jones, a great running mate for Maxx Crosby on the edge, but they failed to address their glaring weaknesses in the secondary.
Herbert ranked third in the NFL with 38 passing touchdowns last season, and he could be ready to go nuclear in his third season – he’s my favorite value for MVP this year. This game has one of the highest over-under totals of the week, and there’s a great chance Herbert attacks this secondary with a couple of long touchdown passes in this game.
Davante Adams Over 6.5 Receptions
I was already likely to be on this prop, but the news that the Chargers’ new All Pro cornerback J.C. Jackson will miss this game gave me even more confidence. The Raiders will likely want to show Adams off in this game after they made an aggressive trade for him over the offseason, and his pre-existing chemistry with Derek Carr is a big plus.
Davante Adams went over this receptions total in all but one game last year and all but two games in 2020 and 2019. He also did it in every game in 2018. Over the last four seasons, that’s a hit rate of 91%, which would provide massive value on this prop at around even money.
Mike Williams Over 56.5 Receiving Yards and Anytime TD
The Raiders attempted to address their secondary deficiencies over the offseason by trading Yannick Ngakoue for up-and-down cornerback Rock Ya-Sin, but the loss of Casey Hayward Jr. is a bigger issue for them. Nate Hobbs was an excellent slot cornerback in his rookie season, but the team’s defenders on the boundary are much worse.
Mike Williams should be able to take advantage of a matchup against Ya-Sin and Anthony Averett on the perimeter. This is the healthiest Williams will be all season, and he got off to a very strong start last year as he cleared this yardage mark in four of his first five games while averaging 94.2 yards per game over that span. I also love his touchdown prop at plus money in conjunction with Herbert’s passing touchdowns prop.
Gerald Everett Over 30.5 Receiving Yards and Anytime TD
I don’t typically recommend betting on two receivers for the same team in the same game, but this is the rare situation where I wouldn’t mind it. The Chargers gave Gerald Everett a two-year, $12 million contract over the offseason to make him a consistent part of the offense.
Everett has the opportunity to get off to a strong start against a Raiders’ defense that allowed the seventh-most yards to tight ends. In addition, Donald Parham, the backup tight end, isn’t expected to play this week as he has continued to miss practice. Look for Everett to begin building a rapport with Herbert and take advantage of this plus matchup in a high-scoring game.