Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens Player Props (10/17/21)

The Chargers and Ravens are tied with the Bills for the best record in the AFC as all four teams have started the year 4-1. There will be plenty of betting intrigue in the Chargers-Ravens game after each team was involved in one of the two most spectacular games of Week 5. While I certainly think there can be betting value on the spread or Moneyline in this game, intriguing player prop bets are also available. Let’s take a look at some of the best bets in this matchup.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Search Tool

Lamar Jackson Over 70.5 Rushing Yards

The Ravens’ quarterback has become much more of a pocket passer this season, and he has not run for over 70 yards since Week 2. So why am I betting on this prop? When he last surpassed this total, it came as he ran for 107 yards against the Chiefs, who Football Outsiders ranks as the worst run defense in the NFL. The Chargers are just behind the Chiefs as the second-worst run defense in the NFL per Football Outsiders, and they have allowed 157.6 rushing yards per game, the most in the NFL. We saw Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt break off chunk play after chunk play last week, and Jackson’s rushing will be very necessary to the Baltimore offense against a stout pass defense.

Austin Ekeler Over 107.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Behind a massively improved offensive line and with a breakthrough Justin Herbert leading an elite offense, Austin Ekeler is in the midst of the best season of his career. He has gone over 107 yards from scrimmage in every game this season, and I’m not scared of a matchup against the Ravens, who Football Outsiders ranks as just the 22nd-best defense in the NFL in total DVOA. Baltimore allowed Jonathan Taylor to finish with 169 yards from scrimmage last week after the Colts’ running back had a slow start to the year, and there’s no reason Ekeler shouldn’t be able to keep up his torrid pace against this defense.

Keenan Allen Over 75.5 Receiving Yards

With Mike Williams amid a breakout season, Keenan Allen has been the forgotten player on the Chargers. However, he should not be overlooked in this matchup. I’m expecting Mike Williams to see the tougher coverage from Marlon Humphery on the perimeter while Keenan Allen sees a lot of Tavon Young in the slot. Per PFF, Young has allowed a monstrous 83.3% catch rate in coverage this year. Allen has not passed this number since Week 2, but he should feast in the matchup against Young in the slot, and with this game appearing to be a high-scoring shootout, I love Allen to make a significant impact.

Marquise Brown Longest Reception Under 25.5 Yards

This is a scary prop because Marquise Brown has a catch of 26 yards or more in every game this season. However, the Chargers have done an excellent job of limiting extended pass plays and have allowed the sixth-lowest explosive pass play rate in the NFL. Derwin James and Nasir Adderley have been one of the best safety duos in the NFL so far, and one of them will provide constant double coverage on Brown downfield. The Chargers are a funnel defense that allows plenty in the short-to-intermediate game but rarely allows long plays and is not prone to busted coverage. We may see a big game from Brown, but I don’t see it coming on one huge chunk play as it has at times this season.