Coming off a disappointing 28-13 road loss to the Denver Broncos, the 6-5 Los Angeles Chargers travels to Cincinnati to play the Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. Cincinnati, 7-4 are coming off a dominating win over their division rival the Pittsburgh Steelers, 41-10 in week 12. Cincinnati has scored at least 30 points in five of their last six games, once in their previous 13 games. The Chargers are 2-3 in their last five games after starting the season 4-2 and looking like one of the best teams in the NFL. Los Angeles is averaging 25 points per game in their last five contests. The Chargers are averaging 19.2 points per game on the road and the Bengals are averaging 26 points per game at home.
Los Angeles Chargers Vs. Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Search Tool
Justin Herbert o/288.5 Passing Yards
Per PFF, Justin Herbert at 85.8 is the second highest-graded quarterback under 25 in the NFL. The second-year signal caller has 14 300 yard passing games in his career; no other quarterback has had more than 10 such games in their first two seasons.
Last weekend in the loss to Denver, Herbert was 28-44 for 303 yards and two touchdowns. In 2021 the sixth pick in the 2020 draft has thrown for 3,230 yards, 24 touchdowns and completing 66% of his passes. The Chargers quarterback has attempted at least 30 passes in a game 11 times this season; tied for most such games in the NFL.
Herbert is averaging 293.6 passing yards per game and averaging 294.4 passing yards per road game this season.
The Cincinnati defense is allowing 254.5 passing yards per game this season, ranking them 25th in the NFL. I’ll predict that Herbert will stay close to his average in passing yards per game and be over 288.5 passing yards against the Bengals.
Joe Mixon U/1.5 Combined Touchdowns
Cincinnati running back Joe Mixon has scored at least two touchdowns in four straight games this season, which is the longest streak in team history. Additionally, he has at least one touchdown in eight straight games, the longest streak by a Bengal since A.J. Green did so in 2012. The fifth-year pro has a career-high 13 touchdowns this season (11 rushing and 2 receiving), the most by a Cincinnati running back in a season since Corey Dillon had 13 in 2001 per NFL.com.
On the season, Mixon is leading the Bengals in rushing with 924 yards and has additional 192 yards receiving, while averaging 1.2 total touchdowns per game in 2021. The second-round pick in the 2017 draft has 38 total touchdowns (31 rushing and seven receiving) in 61 career games.
Mixon will get plenty of opportunities to touch the ball vs. the Chargers, but I could see this game being a shootout with Ja’Marr Chase or Tee Higgins getting more chances downfield to score. Cincinnati’s star running back will score a touchdown, but we under 1.5 combined rushing/receiving touchdowns.
Joe Burrow O/246.5 Passing Yards
The Bengals second year quarterback has played well this season coming back from a devastating knee injury that ended his season early last year. On the season, the first pick in the 2020 draft has thrown for 2,835 yards, 22 touchdowns while completing 69.3% of his passes.
Per PFF this season Joe Burrow at 86.2 is the highest-graded quarterback under 25 in the NFL and has a 93.9 grade against the blitz, first among quarterbacks.
The Chargers’ defense is fifth in the league averaging 204.9 passing yards to their opponents this season. In 2021, Burrow is averaging 257.7 passing yards per game and at home he’s thrown for 1,362 yards (272.4 passing yards per game).
I could see this game being a battle between two of the best young gunslingers in the NFL with a lot of passes being thrown by both clubs. Burrow will have approximately 260 yards passing going over 246.5 passing yards.