Sunday Night Football in Week 18 features a win-or-go-home matchup between the Raiders and Chargers, two AFC West teams vying for the final playoff spot in the conference. The Chargers got the better of their division rival earlier in the year, but the Raiders have shown a rare resiliency this season and this game is being played in Las Vegas. There are plenty of betting angles to break down in what will essentially be a playoff game, and this article will focus on the best values in player props for the game. You can use the player prop search tool below to find the best odds in your market for props in this Chargers vs. Raiders game.
Los Angeles Chargers Vs. Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Search Tool
Derek Carr Under 277.5 Passing Yards
Early in the year, Derek Carr had some monstrous passing yardage numbers, but he’s slowed down considerably since then. Interestingly enough, his lowest passing yards came against the Chargers earlier this year with just 196 in that game. With Darren Waller injured and Henry Ruggs no longer on the team, Carr hasn’t had the same support from his pass-catching weapons. Carr has now only surpassed this line in one of his last eight games. The Chargers are allowing just 224.3 passing yards per game this year, the 13th-fewest in the league. While this could end up a higher-scoring game, I don’t expect Carr to have a ridiculous passing output.
Josh Jacobs Over 60.5 Rushing Yards
If this is going to be a higher-scoring game like I project, the Raiders will have find offensive production from Josh Jacobs against one of the worst run defenses in the NFL. Jacobs only had 40 rushing yards against the Chargers earlier this year, but they are allowing 136.7 rushing yards per game, third-most in the NFL, as they have employed a run-funnel defensive approach. The Raiders have been utilizing Jacobs more often lately with 60+ rushing yards in each of his past two games, including 129 yards against the Broncos who utilized a similar defensive approach to what the Chargers do on a weekly basis. For extra juice, you can include a Jacobs touchdown prop if you buy into a high-scoring game.
Austin Ekeler Over 30.5 Receiving Yards
Ekeler has an interesting statistical profile in terms of receiving this season, as he has hit this mark in 60% of his games, but is averaging over 40 receiving yards per game. That means that when he hits the over, he really hits the over, as he has 45+ receiving yards in 9 of 15 games this season. The Raiders held him to just 28 receiving yards in the first matchup, but Ekeler’s success on the ground was a huge reason why as that was his only 100-yard rushing game of the season. Las Vegas ranks just 25th in pass defense DVOA agaisnt the running back position this year, setting this up as an exploitable matchup for the pass-catching phenom Ekeler has become.
Mike Williams Anytime TD Scorer
When Mike Williams scored four touchdowns in the first three weeks of the season, it looked like he was getting ready for a monster season under the team’s new coaching staff. Alas, injuries and inconsistency have held him back all year and he has scored just twice over his last ten games. However, he did score last week against the Broncos, and he’s due for some positive touchdown regression as he’s only scored three times inside the 20-yard line despite having 17 targets in that area. With a fully healthy offense, it’s difficult to know where the ball will go for the Chargers, but Williams is a jump-ball specialist who can easily come down with a score this week. Look out for the odds on him to score twice, as well, as those longshot bets are always a great way to boost your ROI.