The Los Angeles Rams take on the Cincinnati Bengals in Super Bowl LVI at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, February 13, 2022. The Rams franchise will be making their fifth appearance in the Super Bowl; third while calling Los Angeles home. Per NFL.com, Los Angeles is 2-23 when trailing by 10 or more points in the second half since 2017, both wins came in the NFC Championship game. The Rams have won eight of their last nine games, the best record in the NFL since Week 13, including playoffs. This is the second consecutive season, one of the Super Bowl teams is playing in their home stadium; Rams (this season) and Buccaneers (last season); that scenario had not occurred in the first 54 Super Bowls.
Los Angeles Rams Betting Odds
The Rams are a 4.5-point favorite over the Bengals in Super Bowl LVI. This season Los Angeles is 10-10 against the spread; 8-2 as the away team in which they are despite the Super Bowl being in their home stadium. The money line for Los Angeles, as of writing this article is -200. For historical perspective, as the Los Angeles Rams, they were a huge 10-point underdog to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Super Bowl XIV, losing 31-19 and a two-point underdog to the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LIII, losing 13-3. Over is 5-2 in the Rams last seven games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game; Los Angeles gained 396 yards of offense against San Francisco in the NFC Championship game. Under is 27-10-1 in the Rams last 38 games as a favorite. Under is 5-2 in Rams last seven games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game; Matthew Stafford threw for 337 yards against the 49ers two weeks ago. Los Angeles is 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five meetings with Cincinnati; they last played in 2019 with the Rams, a 12-point favorite, winning 24-10.
Los Angeles Rams Analysis
To win this game, it’s imperative that quarterback, Matthew Stafford not turn the football over. In the regular season he threw 17 interceptions which were tied for the most in the NFL; four of those were returned for a touchdown. Through three postseason games, the Rams signal caller has only thrown one interception. But Stafford also must continue being the leading man in the Rams’ offense. Including the playoffs, he has thrown for 5,761 yards and 47 touchdowns this season. In each of his three playoff games this year, the Rams number 9 has passed for at least 200 yards and thrown at least two touchdown passes.
Cooper Kupp is Los Angeles’s most dangerous pass catcher as he won the NFL receiving “triple crown,” with 145 receptions, 1,947 yards and 16 touchdowns. Besides, Stafford he is the most important skill-position player on the Los Angeles offense, able to make a catch in any situation and one of the best blocking receivers in the NFL, helping to set the edge for the Rams running game. Kupp at +600 to win the Super Bowl MVP, is a great value pick. He has 11 games with at least 100 receiving yards and one or more touchdown receptions this season; most in NFL history, including playoffs. Odell Beckham Jr. who signed with the Rams in November, has 19 catches for 236 yards and one touchdown in three playoff games this season. Against the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game, the former Giant and Brown had 113 yards receiving, his first 100 yard plus receiving game since Week 6 of the 2019 season. Beckham Jr. is +2800 to win the Super Bowl MVP and he’s my “under the radar” pick to win the award. Tight end Tyler Higbee, who had 61 receptions and five touchdowns during the regular season has a knee injury and is questionable for the Super Bowl. If he is unable to play, that’ll be a blow to the Rams passing game.
Cam Akers and Sony Michel are a dangerous duo at running back and gives the offense another dimension. If they are running the ball successfully, the field opens for Stafford and the passing attack. Akers who tore his Achilles before the season began, made a miraculous comeback, and has rushed for 151 yards in three playoff games. He’s battling a shoulder injury and is listed as probable for the Super Bowl. Michel has 24 carries in the Rams three playoff games, but with his experience in the Super Bowl; he had six touchdowns in three playoff games during New England’s run to a championship in Super Bowl LIII, I’d expect him to have some important carries.
Defensively, Los Angeles has allowed 18.3 points per game during their three victories in this season’s playoffs. Jalen Ramsey and the Rams secondary will be under pressure to stop the Bengals explosive passing game. Keeping the Cincinnati receivers under control and in front of them is imperative for Los Angeles to win the championship.
The Rams pass rush has been wonderful this year. During the regular season Los Angeles was third in the NFL with 50 sacks; in three playoff games they have five sacks but have put a lot of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Aaron Donald continues to be most dominant defensive player in the NFL as he’s helped control the line of scrimmage for the Rams. In three playoff games this season he has nine combined tackles, 1.5 sacks, two tackles for loss, and six quarterback hits. Donald is +1600 to win the Super Bowl MVP. Von Miller, who was the MVP of Super Bowl 50, has two sacks, four tackles for loss and three quarterback hits in Los Angeles’s three playoff victories this year. With Cincinnati’s poor offensive line, controlling the line of scrimmage and getting continuous pressure on Bengals quarterback, Joe Burrow will be a key in the Rams attempt to hoist the Lombardi Trophy.