• Rams Odds to Win Super Bowl 2021: +2,800
• Rams Win Total: Over 8.5 (-105), Under 8.5 (-115)
• Rams Odds to Win Division: +370
• Rams Odds to Win Conference: +1,400
*Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook
Why the Rams Have Fallen From Prominence in the NFL
If you don’t grow and improve your team season-by-season in the NFL, your chances of being successful are going to be very limited. No team may presently exemplify that fact, as do the Los Angeles Rams.
The Rams are but one Super Bowl removed from losing the ultimate pro football game in the final quarter. In 2018, LA fulfilled preseason prophecy by winning the NFC after kicking off the season as the +500 top favorite to do so.
Los Angeles entered 2018 at +1,000 to win the ultimate pro football crown and almost paid off on that bet. However, fortunes have changed in Tinseltown. A new stadium may excite fan interest, but the Rams may be looking at more than a few unexciting outcomes in 2020.
The LA Rams Odds to Win Super Bowl LV
The LA Rams have fallen a long way after heading into a Super Bowl matchup only a 2.5 point underdog to one of the greatest teams of all time. They played the New England Patriots nose-to-nose for three-quarters until a man named Brady put 10 fourth-quarter points on the board to win an unlikely defensive battle 13-3.
That season they started the year at +1,000 to win the Super Bowl. In the end, the proved they were almost as good as the preseason projections. However, those projections have changed dramatically after one underachieving season.
Part of the reason is the loss of some key players during this offseason. Other reasons involve the rise of the teams inside their own division. Here are four preseason odds for the LA Rams ahead of the 2020 season, plus we think they might be best avoided on a betting card.
The Rams Odds Analysis
The value of the Los Angeles Rams as a top contender in the NFC has taken a bludgeoning over the last handful of seasons. To begin the 2018 season, the Rams launched at +1,000 to win Super Bowl. They navigated their way to a +115 bet to beat the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LIII.
An awful lot has changed in less than 24 months. The odds for the Rams to even win their division in 2020 is more than three times the long shot bookmakers gave them of upending one of football’s greatest dynasty runs in a single game.
Just two seasons ago, the LA Rams tied for the most victories at 13. Heading into the new season, the over/under for wins in 2020 pegs the magic number at 9. Oddsmakers don’t place the Rams as one of the two best teams in an obviously strong NFC West.
It’s not surprising that a third place finish in the division wouldn’t warrant much of a chance to win the conference title. Without a conference title, there is zero chance of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy.
When we follow the progression of the Rams 2020 odds, it’s pretty clear the consensus feeling is that when the final horn sounds to end the regular season, the Rams players will begin to pack up their bags and head for home.
It’s tough to recommend betting on a team to win a conference or pro football title when they are a serious long shot to win the division. However, this is still a team with some talent. The -105 to win a ninth game before the season ends isn’t the worst betting number.
But, peaking at the Rams’ schedule could even make that a long shot wager. We’d have to think the Rams are in some fashion a rebuilding team, even though it might be a short-lived project. Some offseason moves and LA’s draft picks sort of support this theory.
The LA Rams Offseason Moves and Draft
The jury is still out on the Ram’s offseason efforts to improve the team. However, there is a growing sense that it was not one of the more productive across the league. There are three empty holes on what was once deemed the Rams’ strongest attribute, defense.
Two important pieces left via free agency, and safety Eric Weddle retired. Of all three departures, replacing a defensive end that was the 3rd overall pick in an NFL draft five years ago may be the hardest.
What might be more disturbing beyond the loss of Cory Littleton and Dante Fowler Jr to free agency is that LA didn’t really fill any of the holes themselves. The Rams also did not have a first-round draft pick to elicit at least a little excitement.
Cap space from previously inked big contracts was part of the issue. To help build for the future, the Rams cut ties with their bell cow running back Todd Gurley. They unloaded high-priced wide receiver Brandin Cooks via trade as well.
Another important move that didn’t happen was a serious need to upgrade the offensive line. The Rams did not. That could mean less time for Jared Goff who already is watching his efficiency numbers as quarterback plummet.
The only thing that saved Goff’s interception percentage from being even worse than the ninth worst in the league was he tied Jameis Winston for the most attempts at 626. His TD percentage was the fifth worst in the league.
A shaky frontline could make Goff’s problems even more pronounced. However, it’s the potential loss of a running game that might present the biggest problem. LA did immediately address the hole left at running back with their first draft selection, second-round pick 52.
How quickly former Florida State star Cam Akers becomes a factor is a big question mark. Part of the problem is the suspect blocking he may have to follow. The Rams did get a pair of safeties to add depth to the secondary, plus Alabama linebacker Terrell Lewis.
The only draft pick that might warrant early consideration as a bonafide team improvement is their second pick of the second round, former Florida Gator Van Jefferson. Jefferson is a comparable replacement for Cooks at a fraction of the price.
That may be the key point to take away from the Rams offseason. The mindset seemed to be leaning towards finding better cost-efficient roster fillers. When teams do that, it throws up the red flag of rebuilding season. In a tough division, that might be all that Rams fans should expect.
The Rams Strengths and Weaknesses
The biggest weakness we see staring down the LA Rams is the call to arms for so many young players. Each of the rookie safeties drafted may have to assume high-profile roles on the Rams’ defense immediately.
Van Jefferson is also going to be taxed with the challenge of handling a lion’s share of Jared Goff’s targets. Possibly the Rams biggest single strength, sure-handed precision route expert Cooper Rush will help shoulder the burden in the passing game.
Rush, for all his red zone prowess, cannot do it by himself. The Rams’ coaching staff insisted both in their answers to questions and the players they signed or drafted, they have confidence in the offensive line. It is a young group, but if it continues to be a weakness, it will be a colossal problem.
The Los Angeles Rams Prediction
Beyond all the question marks about whether the Rams have made wise choices with free agent signings and draft picks, the boast the 10th toughest rated schedule heading into the new season. LA ties with the Vikings with a combined overall winning percentage of their opponents of .516.
Then we get what might turn out to be the real prediction dampener. The Rams play in what the consensus views as the toughest division in football. Even the team projected to finish last is going to vastly improved.
Six games against the Cardinals, Seahawks and defending conference champion 49ers is going to be a tough road. They open against three potential 2020 playoff teams, two of those on the road.
After a couple of weeks to catch their breath in winnable games, LA hooks up with the rival 49ers on Sunday Night Football. It is likely the Rams will be below .500 when they get a second breather during their bye-week on November 8. After that, the road becomes akin to a four-week gauntlet.
There is a strong chance when the New York Jets fly out to Inglewood, California four days before Christmas; the Rams could have as few as only two wins on the season. Those projections prove that a team two years removed from a Super Bowl, may be a long way from contending for an NFL title.
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