Los Angeles Rams Vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Player Props & Picks (12/19/22)

Get Los Angeles Rams Vs. Green Bay Packers player prop picks & odds for the (12/19/22) matchup

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Los Angeles Rams Vs. Green Bay Packers Player Prop Picks

When the NFL schedule-makers put this game on Monday Night Football in Week 15, they didn’t expect these teams to have a combined 9-17 record. While this game doesn’t have high-level playoff implications, that doesn’t mean it won’t be an entertaining game to watch. In this article, I’ll break down my favorite player props for this game. You can use the Rams vs. Packers player prop search tool above to compare odds from different sportsbooks.

Tutu Atwell Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115 DraftKings)

It’s hard to understand why Tutu Atwell wasn’t utilized more early in the season, as he’s looked excellent as of late. Last week, he saw a career-high nine targets that resulted in five catches for 50 yards. Against a defense that allows the fourth-highest rate of explosive plays, he’s in a great position to succeed.

Atwell’s average speed of 18.41 miles per hour as a ball-carrier in Week 15 was the highest of any player in a single week this season. The Rams have been creative in his utilization with sweeps, end-arounds, screens, and more. With his elite speed and creativity, he’s a fantastic YAC weapon.

Despite Baker Mayfield only arriving to the team a couple of days before last week’s game, he showed strong chemistry with Atwell that will only continue to grow. Although he has seen limited volume this season, Atwell has three catches of 30+ yards, and he could hit the over on this prop on a single play.

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Baker Mayfield Over 10.5 Rushing Yards (-110 DraftKings)

While Baker Mayfield isn’t known as a necessarily mobile quarterback, this game presents an opportunity to target his rushing yardage prop. The Packers have allowed 26.2 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks, the fourth-most in the NFL, and their run defense ranks dead last in DVOA overall.

Mayfield is still learning Sean McVay’s offense, and it’s likely that he will take off to scramble a couple of times if the plays don’t break down the way he expects. On the road in a hostile environment and against a defense that can rush the passer, that’s especially true. With the Rams’ makeshift offensive line, Mayfield could be under pressure throughout.

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Christian Watson Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-113 FanDuel) and Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+155 FanDuel)

The breakout is real. Since Week 10, Christian Watson is averaging 3.7 catches for 78.3 yards, and he has an absurd eight touchdowns over that span. While it’s easy to say that touchdown rate is unsustainable, he has a 45.5% end zone target share over that span. He’s become a trusted target of Rodgers in the red zone.

Watson ranks 13th in yards per route run and fourth in YAC per reception since Week 10, and he’ll have plenty of opportunities against a Los Angeles defense that plays heavy zone coverage and allows the fifth-highest deep ball completion rate. I’ll bank on Watson’s breakout continuing in this primetime game.

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Aaron Rodgers Longest Pass Completion Over 34.5 Yards (-114 FanDuel)

In his last three games, Aaron Rodgers has failed to complete a pass of 35+ yards, but it’s not for a lack of trying. Rodgers ranks third in the NFL in big-time throw rate and second in pass attempts of 20+ yards downfield. He should have plenty of opportunities to complete those downfield passes against the Rams.

Since Week 8, the Rams rank 31st in success rate and 30th in EPA allowed per dropback, and they’ve allowed the fifth-highest deep ball completion rate. With Aaron Donald out, the pass rush isn’t nearly as viable, so Rodgers will have time behind an increasingly healthy offensive line. With that time against this secondary, forget about it.

I've been a huge sports fan for as long as I can remember and I've always loved writing. In 2020, I joined the Lineups team, and I've been producing written and video content on football and basketball ever since. In May 2021, I graduated from the University of Michigan with a degree in sport management. My goal is to tell enthralling stories and provide meaningful insight on the sports I write about while helping you cash some bets along the way.

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