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The Los Angeles Rams face off against the San Francisco 49ers on Monday night in a primetime divisional matchup that will see both old friends and new faces come together for a shot at some California pride. Sean McVay and the Rams have officially gone for broke this year — adding Von Miller and Odell Beckham Jr in the last two weeks to an already star studded roster. The 49ers, meanwhile, are struggling to stay afloat in a division that’s slowly separated into the haves and have-nots. Nothing is out of the question on Monday, though, as Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers have won 4 straight against the Rams dating back to 2018. Considering that both McVay and Shanahan trace their coaching origins back to the same Washington team in 2013, it can be assumed that this game runs a lot deeper than just division.
Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers Player Prop Search Tool
Darrell Henderson Over 65.5 Rushing Yards
The 49ers will be the best passing defense the Rams have faced all season. Though I expect Stafford to take some shots over the top, the true bread and butter for this offense is going to have to be on the ground. The 49ers have the seventh worst run defense in the league and, when Henderson gets 14 or more carries, he’s averaging upwards of 75 yards a game. Expect Henderson to get at least 15 carries in this one, and some gaping holes to run through as the 49ers prepare heavily for the Rams air attack.
Matthew Stafford Over 37.5 Passing Attempts
Though it would make sense to take the under here for the same reason I took the over on Henderson’s rushing yards, I do think this is going to be a relatively close game given that the 49ers are at home and Shanahan has had McVay’s number historically. In the Rams’ closest games this season, McVay has looked to Stafford the most for production on offense. If this game is within a score entering the fourth quarter, and I think it will be, I expect the offense to become very Stafford-centric down the stretch. The Rams QB is averaging 36 attempts a game on the season and 38 attempts a game since week 2. If McVay decides to play OBJ on Monday, don’t be surprised if they try to get him going with a lot of quick, easy throws.
Monday Night Football Player Prop Video
Deebo Samuel Over 71.5 Receiving Yards
Averaging over 110 receiving yards a game, Deebo Samuel has become Garropolo’s number one target this season. Against a Rams secondary that’s been relatively average as of late, Deebo will undoubtedly get some opportunities to make plays in space on Monday. The last time these two teams faced, he went off for 11 receptions and 133 yards. This year, with Elijah Mitchell and George Kittle both questionable, Deebo will have to be featured early and often for this 49ers offense to stay rolling.
Matthew Stafford Under 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
3 touchdowns is a lot to bet on against a defense that allows only 1.5 a game. Though the Rams will be the best offense the 49ers have faced all season, Stafford has only thrown 3 touchdowns or more in 5 games so far — each time against pedestrian defenses relative to the 49ers. With OBJ joining the team just 2 days ago, I hypothesize a lot of the leadup to this game has been dedicated to integrating him into the offense, possibly throwing receivers such as Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods off their weekly rhythm.