Seattle is 20-5 in their last 25 games, coming into this game as the hottest team in baseball and now first in the AL West. The Mets are on the other end of the spectrum; their playoff hopes are nonexistent and they’ve dropped three straight series heading into tonight’s matchup.
Mariners vs. Mets Prediction
Mariners vs. Mets Prediction: Mariners ML
The Mariners have the third-highest team batting average (.285) and the highest OBP (.373) in the month of August, led mostly by Julio Rodriguez’ .429/.474/.724 slash line in the month. His seven home runs, 10 doubles and 30 RBIs this month has put the Mariners in first place in the AL West. Teoscar Hernandez has been another bright spot for this Mariners offense throughout their August hot streak as well, boasting a .365 average, nine doubles, 22 RBIs, and seven homers.
Pitching has been dominant for the Ms as well, as the staff has a 2.92 ERA over the last 30 days (2nd). Gilbert will be on the mound for Seattle – he is 12-5 (9th), with a 3.66 ERA (25th) and a 1.04 WHIP (5th).
Meanwhile Francisco Lindor is the bright spot of this Mets team and with a solid end to his season, he has a chance to reach 100 runs and 100 RBIs in the same season for the first time in his career. Aside from a few outliers, Lindor is pretty much on his own in the success. The Mets offense is ranked 25th in team batting average (.237) and total hits and the Mets pitching staff went 11-18 with a season-low 4.98 ERA in the month of August.
The scripts between these two teams are just too different not to back the Mariners here.
Mariners vs. Mets Odds
The Mariners (-115) enter as narrow favorites in this matchup against the Mets (-105). The over/under is 7.5 runs and if you are interested in betting the run line, you can get the Mariners -1.5 at +145 or the Astros +1.5 at -175.
Mariners vs. Mets Key Matchups
Let’s take a look at some of the key matchups that could decide Mariners vs. Mets.
Kodai Senga vs. Mariners hot streak
Senga has been clutch for the Mets this year despite their team struggles. He’s 10-7 maintaining a 3.17 ERA (7th) and 10.8 K/9 rate (5th) and is looking to make a four-game quality start streak here. He has his work cut out for him. This Mariners offense has momentum on their side heading into this game and any team in the league should be nervous to play them. They’ve been dominant in August, boasting a .285/.371/.492 slash line with 46 home runs, 153 RBIs, and 21 wins.
This will be the first super dominant pitcher that the Mariners are facing in several games so there is definitely reason to believe their hitting streak is under threat.
Logan Gilbert vs. Mets lefties
Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo, and Jeff McNeil are some of the Mets’ best hitters and hold the three best batting averages on the team. They also all hit from the left side.
Lindor alone has a WAR of 5.1 (10th) and a .307/.369/.455 August slash line. In his last 15 games, he’s recorded at least one hit in 13 of them. He hits on both sides of the plate but has done slightly better on the left. McNeil is batting .313 in August with 13 RBIs and Nimmo has a .355 OBP (31st).
Gilbert has done slightly better against left-handed batters, holding opponents to a .228 average and a .262 OBP. He is looking to add his third-straight quality start and maintain his 2.88 ERA since July.
Mariners vs. Mets Starting Lineups
Mariners Starting Lineup
SS J.P. Crawford L
CF Julio Rodriguez R
3B Eugenio Suarez R
RF Teoscar Hernandez R
C Cal Raleigh S
1B Ty France R
LF Cade Marlowe L
DH Dominic Canzone L
SS Jose Caballero R
Mets Starting Lineup
CF Brandon Nimmo L
SS Francisco Lindor S
2B Jeff McNeil L
1B Pete Alonso R
DH Daniel Vogelbach L
C Francisco Alvarez R
RF DJ Stewart L
LF Rafael Ortega L
3B Jonathan Arauz S