Memorial Tournament Odds, Picks, Predictions: Best Bets, Props, OAD
Another week, another freshly renovated test! The next stop on the PGA Tour is the famed Muirfield Golf Club, a test of demanding all-around conditions. It’s time to break down my best bets on the Memorial Tournament odds board.
Appropriately fixated on the schedule in the heart of major season, this week’s event should continue to reward players with an all-around skillset from tee-to-green. A winning mark of eight-under-par was enough for Scottie Scheffler to prevail at this event last year, clearing Collin Morikawa by one shot. After an extensive renovation, it’s reassuring to see Muirfield Village will continue to reward elite ball striking, positioning off the tee, and scrambling from thick and penal rough.
Click the odds anywhere in this article to place a bet on the Memorial Tournament. For a full breakdown of the event and course, visit my Memorial Tournament preview.
Memorial Tournament Odds
Find the best Memorial Tournament odds across sportsbooks in your state. Navigate to my longshots post for more golf DFS picks and considerations.
How I Built My Memorial Tournament Betting Card
Despite all the recent renovations to the course, the leaderboards have remained constant, as the Memorial Tournament continues to be one of the stickiest events on the PGA Tour in terms of repeatable course history.
From a betting card perspective, I would not be surprised to see a 50-1 or longer underdog win this week, knowing this Signature Event is so concentrated with top-level talent. I looked to build a longer card of buy-low candidates who remain in fine form leading in, and have shown top-10 upside at the Memorial Tournament in past years.
From a unit allocation standpoint, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly stake at the 2025 Memorial Tournament.
Memorial Tournament Odds & Picks: Outrights (3.6U)
Xander Schauffele
My Bet: +1800
Best Available Odds:
I’ve been patiently waiting for Xander Schauffele to return to his breakout 2024 form since returning from injury. Now with five consecutive top-30 finishes, I think it’s safe to say the rust has been shaken off. Schauffele is my favorite player not named Scottie Scheffler to win this week, and I believe we’re getting a pretty good discount on the two-time 2024 Major winner at this number.
Players like Morikawa and Cantlay overshadow Schauffele’s great course history, but with top-25 finishes in each of his last six appearances at Muirfield Village, this would be a sensible spot for Xander to break through for his first win since the 2024 Open Championship.
Hideki Matsuyama
My Bet: +3500
Best Available Odds:
Matsuyama was a winner at Muirfield Village back in his 2014 debut, and he’s continued to demonstrate the course fit with three additional top-10 finishes at the Memorial since. That includes a T8 in his latest appearance last season, proving the recent renovation has not impacted his ability to score on these grounds.
The 2025 Sentry winner has been solid this season, picking up a total of seven top-25 finishes in 13 starts. He’s a known killer when he gets into contention, and remains one of the most reliable approach and scrambling players on the PGA TOUR.
Shane Lowry
My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds:
I am a sucker for playing Shane Lowry in Dublin, but this seems to be as good an opportunity as ever before for the Irashman to pick up his first win since the 2019 Open Championship. It’s hard to believe Lowry has only picked up one individual stroke play win in the United States over the course of his 12-year career, but that sole victory also came in the state of Ohio at the 2015 WGC Bridgestone Invitational.
Lowry is at his best on second-shot golf courses that reward precise iron play and consistent scrambling. He ranks No. 7 in my model this week, rating inside the top-10 in this field in Recent Form (SG: TOT L36), SG: T2G, SG: APP, and SG: Ball Striking.
Si Woo Kim
My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:
The stars feel as though they’re aligning for Si Woo Kim this week, as he continues to trend better and better, leading up to an event that suits his strengths perfectly and has led to consistent success. Kim has now picked up four top-20 finishes over his last six starts, a credit to his consistent driving accuracy, spike approach play, and improved putting.
Si Woo has been a mainstay at the top of the leaderboard at the Memorial Tournament as well, finishing in the top 20 in each of his last five trips. While not known to be the greatest putter on TOUR, he’s taken a liking to these firm and fast Bentgrass greens, gaining putting in each of his last seven starts at the Memorial.
Recently contending in comparable difficult conditions at the PGA Championship, Si Woo should have another good week in store if he can channel a similar game plan at Muirfield Village.
Akshay Bhatia
My Bet: +10000
Best Available Odds:
Whether it be Denny McCarthy’s near victory in 2023 or surprise wins from William McGirt and David Lingmerth, the Memorial Tournament has been kind to longshots. The new Signature Event model has not lent itself to many viable options beyond the 100-1 odds mark to date, but Akshay has proven to have upside worth chasing here.
Akshay was a few untidy three-putts away from joining Rory McIlroy and J.J. Spaun in a playoff at The Players Championship earlier this season, one of three top-10 finishes he has posted thus far. Elite approach play is priority number one at Muirfield Village, and Akshay has shown this season he has the potential to separate in these loaded fields with his iron play alone.
Memorial Tournament Odds & Picks: First-Round Leader (0.70 Units)
Si Woo Kim
My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:
Known for being one of the most aggressive players on the PGA TOUR, that high-risk, high-reward mentality has made Si Woo Kim a top-5 player in the field in terms of Par-5 Scoring, which is crucial for scoring at Muirfield Village. He’ll enter this week in great form with even better course history here.
Aaron Rai
My Bet: +6000
Best Available Odds:
Muifield Village is a long venue, but we’ve seen shorter players plod around here without issue too over the years. Rai remains in good form this season with three top-25 finishes in his last four starts, and has the approach chops to go low on a course as demanding as this.
Akshay Bhatia
My Bet: +6600
Best Available Odds:
Just like Aaron Rai, Akshay Bhatia’s iron play leads me to believe he can go low this week. Akshay looks to have regained the form he began the year with, finishing T22 last week, and he has the ability to get streaky with his approach play and putting.
Bud Cauley
My Bet: +7500
Best Available Odds:
Bud Cauley continues to show his versatility, gaining strokes throughout his bag in this resurgent 2025 season. This is a great value on one of the hottest players in the field at the moment, as Cauley has finished top-6 in four of his last seven starts.
Memorial Tournament Odds & Picks: Props (1.5 Units)
Full Tournament Matchup: Xander Schauffele over Patrick Cantlay
My Bet: -110
I think we’ve taken it just a bit too far here by pricing Xander Schauffele as a toss-up with his longtime Ryder Cup partner, Patrick Cantlay. Yes, Cantlay is the one in this matchup with two wins to his name at the Memorial, but more recently, it’s been Xander who’s proven to be the better fit at Muirfield Village. Cantlay has fallen outside the top-30 in each of his last two trips here, whereas Schauffele has finished no worse than T24 in his last seven appearances. I expect both players to play well this week, but I see a higher ceiling for Schauffele based on where their games are trending at the moment.
Top-20 Finish: Hideki Matsuyama
My Bet: +130
Best Available Odds:
When looking for a conservative top-20 placement, I typically pass over a player as volatile as Hideki Matsuyama. However, a closer look would suggest his game has been far more consistent than usual lately. Matsuyama appears to be the healthiest he’s been in years, and has finished top-35 in nine of his first 13 starts this season. At the Memorial, he’s cracked the top-20 in each of his last two appearances as well.
One & Done (OAD)
My Pick: Scottie Scheffler
I made a decision early in this season that I would be saving Scheffler in OAD for the Memorial. There were questions about his health at the beginning of the year. There are other solid LIV options to use in big purse majors, and the “Scottie courses” (TPC Sawgrass, Harbour Town) are a bit too volatile for me to play him with conviction.
At this stage of the season, many have already used Scheffler, and the ones who haven’t likely have their sights set on using him in the U.S. or British Open. I see Muirfield Village as a perfect fit for Scheffler’s game, where he can truly separate with his elite iron play and world-class short game. While I hope to be wrong about this for the sake of my outright bets, this serves as a nice hedge if Scheffler does go on to continue his dominance at this event.
If not Scheffler, I would also consider playing Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, or Collin Morikawa in OAD.
Memorial Tournament Odds: Full Betting Card
That’ll do it for this week’s PGA Tour golf bets. Best of luck this week with your bets on the odds for the Memorial Tournament, and see you on Sunday for the RBC Canadian Open preview.
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