Miami Dolphins Super Bowl Odds 2022

Dolphins Super Bowl Odds 2022

The Dolphins are the new sexy pick around the sports gambling world as they have many of the necessary pieces to win the Super Bowl. The Dolphins are one of the more complete teams in the AFC as they have a solid offensive line, offensive skill positions, coaching, and a great turnover creating defense.

Their only question mark is their quarterback as Tua Tugavoiloa struggled in his rookie season. Tua looked hesitant and scared in the pocket and was far worse than what he looked like at Alabama. The good thing is that Tua didn’t have a real offseason due to Covid and reports coming out of this year’s camp says he looks confident and is ready to claim his position as the quarterback for Miami. Brian Flores has flourished in his first head coaching gig and he will look to take a scrappy and talented Dolphins’ team deep into the playoffs. 

Dolphins Odds to Win Super Bowl 2021

Dolphins Odds to Win Super Bowl:
Dolphins Odds to Make Playoffs:
Dolphins Odds to Win Division:
Dolphins Odds to Win Conference:

Offseason Changes

miami dolphins

Coaching Changes

  • Danny Crossman to assistant head coach/ special teams coach 
  • George Godsey to co-offensive coordinator/tight ends
  • Eric Studesville to co-offensive coordinator/running backs 
  • Charles Burks to cornerbacks coach 
  • Austin Clark to defensive line coach
  • Shawn Flaherty to assistant offensive line coach, 
  • Mike Judge to assistant tight ends coach 
  • Rob Leonard to outside linebackers coach.

Key Guys Returning


  • WR Devante Parker 
  • LB Elandon Roberts 
  • WR Mack Hollins 
  • OT Adam Pankey 

Departures That Made Team Worse

  • LB Kyle Van Noy 
  • G Erek Flowers 
  • S Bobby McCain
  • QB Ryan Fitzpatrick

Additions That May Have Moved Odds In Teams Favor

  • WR Jaylen Waddle
  • WR Will Fuller  
  • QB Jacoby Brissett 
  • RB Malcolm Brown 
  • CB Justin Coleman
  • DT Adam Butler 
  • DB Jason McCourtney
  • LB Shaquill Griffin
  • DE Jaeln Phillips
  • OL Liam Eichenberg

Dolphins Odds Analysis

Going into the pre-season the Dolphins had +3500 odds to win the Super Bowl in 2022 which are tied for the 9th best odds in the league.

These odds were tied with the Patriots and Colts and those two teams are coincidentally the teams that the Dolphins should compare themselves to throughout this NFL season. These three teams are teams that are going to compete for a wildcard spot come December and the Dolphins are probably the best team out of that grouping. The Dolphins have the best quarterback and best skill positions out of the three with a defense that won’t fold over to a slight breeze.

Compared to the rest of the AFC, the Dolphins are behind the Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, Browns, and Titans. And this should make sense as these teams also have phenomenal rosters and the upside of those other teams is that they all have stable and excellent quarterback play. Tua has not proven himself to be as good as Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield, or Ryan Tannehill, but he has a great chance to change this narrative with the myriad of weapons that the Dolphins front office has surrounded him with.

The Dolphins are a risky bet for a Super Bowl future, but they have tremendous upside. Not many teams across the NFL can say they have a top 10 offense and defense like the Dolphins will have this season. They also have many talented, household name players littered across the field with a coaching staff that will put them in positions to succeed. If Tua can elevate his play to the level that his reports coming out of camp are saying, then the Dolphins are one of the most dangerous teams in the NFL capable of winning the whole thing. 

Reasons Why the Dolphins Win the Super Bowl 

The Dolphins have it all. Great coaching, solid quarterback play, solid running backs, one of the best receiving tight ends in the league, solid offensive line play, a deep and talented wide receiving corps, aggressive and powerful defensive line, speedy linebackers who can cover running backs, ballhawk secondary players, and special team players who won’t cost them the game. Maybe the Dolphins’ most important player is their kicker, Jason Saunders, who is so good and consistent that he beat the Jets by himself through making field goals in a game.

People wanted to tank for QB Tua Tugavoiloa once upon a time and many wanted to write him off after his rookie season. But Tua and this Dolphins’ offense has tremendous upside this season as they have talented playmakers scattered across their organization who can all make big plays off of the slightest amount of separation. TE Mike Geiski was a stud for Miami last season and he is now joined by some of the fastest wide receivers in the world in Devante Parker, Will Fuller, and rookie Jaylen Waddle. RB Myles Gaskin will look to be the bell cow back this season, but Malcolm Brown has certainly made a case for himself to take some carries from Gaskin.

Their defense is also spectacular as this unit is headlined by ball hawks like Xavien Howard, Byron Jones, Jason McCourtney, and Eric Rowe. But this defense is fast everywhere as they have other great players like Emmanuel Ogbah, Andrew Van Ginkel, Christian Williams, and Jerome Baker. This defense created the most turnovers in the NFL last season and while I do think that area will regress this season, they should still be in the Top 10 in the league. 

Reasons Why the Dolphins Don’t Win the Super Bowl

Now no team is without its flaws and Miami is no exception. While QB Tua Tugavoiloa has shown signs that he has improved this offseason, we still don’t know what we’re going to get this season. Last season, Brian Flores pulled Tua in multiple games because he was too tentative with the ball and was no getting the job done. This year, the quarterback who saved his butt, Ryan Fitzpatrick, is not there to save the day again. This means that Tua will need to step up and sustain his play every minute of every game for the whole season and we just don’t know if he can do that.

Their running backs are also one of the weaker parts of their team as they have no star power at that position. Myles Gaskin is their best back but is only solid at best and the rest either lack speed, pass-catching ability, quickness, or explosiveness.

The other area where the Dolphins might struggle is their brutal schedule. The Dolphins are a likely playoff team and are mostly eyeing a wildcard spot as they are not as good as the Bills this year, as the Bills will most likely win the AFC East again. With that in mind, the Dolphins have a bunch of games where they have to play potential playoff teams which includes the Patriots twice, Bills twice, Buccaneers, Colts, Raiders, Saints, and Titans.

These are some difficult games to win looking at the Dolphins’ current roster and these will be hard-fought well-earned wins if the Dolphins can manage to pull them out. Then again, the Dolphins have an equally likely chance of losing some of these games and the Dolphins should view every game as a must-win if they want to claim a spot in the playoffs. 

Chris primarily bets on the NFL but has also won betting on the NBA, CBB, and CFB. His friends call him "The Trap Game Mastermind" for his ability to identify trap games. Loves underdogs, overs, and betting against fraudulent teams.

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