The Dolphins and Jets play this week in an AFC East divisional showdown between two teams who are not exactly leading the way in the playoff race. However, Miami is coming off a two-game win streak and is suddenly in the conversation for a Wild Card spot. This game is a must-win for them, though, and they’ll be fired up to face a struggling Jets squad. Let’s take a look at some of the best player props available for this matchup. You can always use our player prop search tool to find the best values for the Dolphins vs. Jets matchup.
Miami Dolphins Vs. New York Jets Player Prop Search Tool
Myles Gaskin Over 73.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
The Dolphins’ starting running back has struggled to maintain efficiency this season, and he has averaged three or fewer yards per carry in each of his last three games. However, Miami has been committed to giving him the ball as he has played on 63.8% of the team’s snaps over the past four weeks. Gaskin is very capable of taking advantage of plus matchups, and this is very much an excellent spot for him. The Jets are allowing 417.1 yards per game this season, the most in the NFL by a wide margin – only one other team allows more than 400 yards per game. Gaskin’s usage isn’t going anywhere, and he should excel given the matchup.
Michael Carter Over 3.5 Receptions
The Jets have given Michael Carter more and more work throughout his rookie season, particularly in the passing game. Over the past four weeks, Carter has been averaging 5.5 receptions per game. The Dolphins’ pass defense has taken a step forward recently, especially against the run, but they have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game this season. The big concern with this game is the introduction of Joe Flacco as the starting quarterback, as it’s unclear what the offense will look like with him under center. However, I’m confident enough in Carter’s involvement in the passing game to play this prop.
Tua Tagovailoa Over 245.5 Passing Yards
There isn’t a considerable track record for Tua Tagovailoa getting this level of passing volume, as the second-year passer has only surpassed this number in six career games. However, Tagovailoa has been very successful this year if you look at the bigger picture. He missed three straight starts as he dealt with a fractured finger, but he logged a full practice on Thursday and should be good to go this week. He has two games this season where he started and didn’t face the Bills or Patriots, and in those two games, he averaged 310 passing yards. This year, the Jets are allowing 283.2 passing yards per game, and I’m expecting a big game from Tagovailoa this week.
Corey Davis Longest Reception Over 21.5 Yards
I was surprised to see this line so low against a pretty beatable Dolphins’ secondary. Corey Davis has a reception of over 22 yards in four of his seven games this year, and the Dolphins have allowed much worse players such as Zach Pascal and Chris Conley to hit this number this season. Miami’s defense has played better recently, but it’s still allowing the second-most passing yards per game. If you buy into the narrative that the Miami offense will be successful this week, you can expect Joe Flacco to be airing it out in the second half in an attempt to stage a comeback. I do like the over on the points total this week, and I’m banking on Davis to rip off another big play at some point in the contest.