Miami (FL) National Championship Odds & Analysis Entering Final Four
Contents
Miami’s current National Championship odds are . Miami’s unlikely path to the Final Four was headlined by their talent at the guard spot, and are by no means a Cinderella team after beating the 1 and 2 seeds in their region in both Houston and Texas before booking their trip to Houston.
Miami might have the best offense remaining in the Tournament. They struggled in their first game against Drake, only scoring 63 points, but have since scored 85, 89, and 88 points on their road to the Final Four. Let’s take a look at the Hurricanes’ odds to win the national title and break down what kind of value you can get here.
Miami National Championship Odds 2023
| Miami (FL) National Championship Odds & Futures | Odds |
|---|---|
| To Make National Championship Game | |
| To Win National Championship Game |
Miami enters the Final Four as the third favorite left, behind UConn and San Diego State at +475. They’re also listed at +210 on the money line against UConn. Oddsmakers don’t have much faith in Miami against UConn and that’s why their overall odds are listed 3rd in the Final Four.
The Hurricanes have proven that their guards are just better than everyone else’s up to this point. Isaiah Wong, Jordan Miller, and Nigel Pack have been almost unstoppable as a trio for the Hurricanes and Norchad Omier has made big plays when necessary down low too.
They’ve proven that guards matter in March above all else and have been carried here because of that trio mainly.
Miami vs UConn Analysis
FAU vs San Diego State should be a good game, but the headliner is Miami vs UConn. UConn has been a juggernaut up to this point by winning every game in the Tournament by double digits, but Miami is different, especially because they’ve been in close games and have had to come back to win in multiple games in the Tournament so far.
UConn is 28th in scoring at 78.8 PPG and then are 35th in points allowed at 64.4 PPG. UConn is the most balanced team remaining and those stats reflect that. Adama Sanogo and Jordan Hawkins are the dynamic duo for the Huskies. Sanogo has been a beast down low the entire Tournament, while Jordan Hawkins has been shooting lights out from outside. Miami also needs to worry about Tristen Newton and Alex Karaban on the perimeter who are apart of the many waves of perimeter players UConn can throw at teams.
The three guard lineup of Isaiah Wong, Jordan Miller, and Nigel Pack can compete with anyone and they helped take down two of the best teams remaining in both Houston and Texas. They carved up Houston, which was considered the best defense in the Tournament and Texas which was considered the team with the best guards remaining, but UConn might be more complete than both teams and San Diego State is still lurking on the other side as the best defense remaining.
The key for the Hurricanes will be how well they can rebound in this game because Adama Sanogo has been such a force down low and Donovan Clingan can pick up the slack from him too. Norchad Omier is Miami’s best big man, but he’s undersized and could get dominated in this game because of both of those two.
Miami’s odds reflect them coming up against a buzzsaw in UConn. They’ve also struggled on defense by giving up 72 PPG. There’s value in taking them to win because in a one and done tournament we’ve seen anything can happen, but can they beat UConn?
Reasons Why Miami Can and Can’t Win the National Championship
Strengths
- Best offense remaining
- Best trio of guards remaining in Wong, Miller, and Pack
- No perfect team in the Tournament
Weaknesses
- Weakness down low with Omier being undersized
- Worst overall defense remaining
