Get Miles Sanders player prop picks & odds for the (2/12/23) matchup
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Behind an elite Eagles offensive line, Miles Sanders had a career year in the regular season as he took 259 carries for 1,269 yards and 11 touchdowns – all of those were career highs. He only caught 20 passes, though, for 78 yards. Those were career lows for the fourth-year running back.
In this article, I’ll take a look at some player props for Miles Sanders. You can use the player prop search tool above to compare odds from different sportsbooks, which is always important. Be sure to check out our YouTube channel for further coverage on player props for Super Bowl LVII. Let’s get to work.
Miles Sanders Over/Under 59.5 Rushing Yards
The Eagles’ lead running back has been hit or miss this season. He has gone over this number in 11 of his 19 games, but it’s been a mixed bag. While he has under 50 yards in six of his 19 games this season, he also has six games with 90+ rushing yards.
Sanders got a big boost from his offensive line as he ranked fourth among all running backs with 3.2 yards before contact per carry. 837 of his 1,269 total rushing yards came before contact. The Chiefs rank just 21st in adjusted line yards, so the Eagles’ offensive line will be able to carve holes out for Sanders.
When the Chiefs and Eagles met in 2021, Sanders was held to just 7 carries for 13 yards (1.9 YPC). However, Philadelphia was without three offensive line starters in Jordan Mailata, Lane Johnson, and Isaac Seumalo – all three will suit up for the Eagles this week.
The game script won’t be as favorable for Sanders in this game as it has been for most of the season, and there’s the added issue of Kenneth Gainwell’s increased involvement – he had more rushing attempts than Sanders last week. I’d lean towards the under here.
The Verdict: Lean Under 59.5 Rushing Yards
Miles Sanders Over/Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts
Miles Sanders had 14+ rushing attempts in six of the first eight games of the season and 13+ in seven of the first eight. However, in his last 11 games, he’s been over 13.5 rushing attempts in just five of them. He also has 12 or fewer in three of his last four games, a stretch that directly coincides with increased involvement for Kenneth Gainwell.
Gainwell has 12+ rushing yards in each of the team’s two playoff games, and he out snapped Sanders 31-22 last week. Some of that could be due to the game being out of reach for the entire second half, but Gainwell’s versatility has made him a valuable member of the offense. As such, I’d lean towards the under for Sanders’s rushing attempts.
The Verdict: Lean Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts
Miles Sanders Over/Under 4.5 Receiving Yards
Part of the reason Kenneth Gainwell has been on the field more lately for the Eagles is that he provides much more of a presence in the pass game. In these teams’ 2021 matchup, Gainwell caught six balls on six targets for 58 yards and a 93.9 PFF receiving grade that led the team by far.
Gainwell is the preferred option in the receiving game for the Chiefs as Sanders takes a backseat in that department. Sanders has over 4.5 receiving yards in just eight of his 19 games this season and has zero or negative yards in 11 of his 19 games.
Perhaps that will change this week in a higher-paced shootout. The Chiefs are vulnerable against running backs in the passing game as they allowed 6.6 catches (most) for 48.6 receiving yards (third-most) in the regular season. Sanders has proven capable in the receiving game in the past, so perhaps he takes advantage.
If you like Sanders’s receiving yardage prop, you could take a look at his rushing and receiving yard prop which is listed at 66.5 yards. However, I’m not terribly bullish on Sanders in this game in general, and this prop is a pass for me.
The Verdict: Lean Over 4.5 Receiving Yards
Miles Sanders Anytime Touchdown
We always knew there would be some positive regression for Miles Sanders in the touchdown department as he didn’t score once last year despite touching the ball 163 times. This season, he found paydirt 11 times, all of them coming on the ground. He also scored twice against the 49ers last week.
The Chiefs were vulnerable against the run overall, but they allowed just ten rushing touchdowns in the regular season, which tied for the fourth-fewest in the NFL. It’s also tough to know who will get the rushing touchdown for the Eagles as Sanders (49) and Jalen Hurts (43) are both in the top six for red zone rushing attempts this season.
The Verdict: Lean Yes
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