Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Championship Odds 2022-23

The current Minnesota Timberwolves championship odds are . They finished 46-36 last season and wound up as the 7th seed. Facing the Los Angeles Clippers sans Kawhi Leonard in the play-in didn’t faze them, as they won 109-104 behind Anthony Edwards’ 30 points. Minnesota lost 4-2 to the Memphis Grizzlies in the First Round, but they had moments of utter dominance.
After a season of growth, the Timberwolves traded for defensive magician Rudy Gobert. In addition to a huge portion of their future draft capital, Minnesota lost three key contributors in Vanderbilt, Beverley, and Beasley. However, Minnesota now features two All-Star centers and rising superstar Anthony Edwards. They also brought in Kyle Anderson, Bryn Forbes, and Austin Rivers to help offset those losses.

Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Championship Odds & Futures 2022-23

The current odds for Minnesota futures are located in the table below. It includes championship, conference, division, and win total odds for the Timberwolves. 

Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Championship Odds & FuturesOdds (Updated February 2023)
2023 NBA Championship Odds
Western Conference Winner Odds
Northwest Division Winner Odds
Regular Season Win Total Odds
Odds To Reach Playoffs

Despite acquiring Gobert, the Timberwolves fail to crack the top 10 for championship odds, which is a testament to the height and distribution of talent across the NBA. Although the focus revolves around their big three (Towns, Edwards, Gobert), Minnesota’s depth isn’t compromised due to the draft and free agent signings. Starting point guard D’Angelo Russell was an All-Star as recently as the 2018/19 season, and Jaden McDaniels displayed intriguing defensive versatility last season. Jaylen Nowell took a step forward as a reliable bench scorer and ball handler, so the Timberwolves have a dangerous sixth man. 

I believe the three biggest threats to Minnesota in terms of an unfavorable matchup are Milwaukee, Boston, and Philadelphia. Luckily, they all reside in the East, so their conference winner odds are appealing. If Edwards takes another leap and the Towns/Gobert pairing blends well, then Minnesota realistically has a chance to win the West. Their win total odds are also tantalizing, as Gobert consistently manufactures regular season wins. Minnesota won 46 games last season without him, so the total for this year is slightly too low. And that was with a 1-3 record against Utah, which likely ends in a 4-0 sweep for the Timberwolves this season. 

Reasons Why Minnesota Timberwolves Can & Can’t Win NBA 2022-23 Championship 

Strengths

  • Star Power: Anthony Edwards is a supernova waiting to happen because of his superb isolation scoring, improved ball handling, and elite athleticism. I expect Edwards to increase his efficiency and make the leap towards the 25-27 PPG range. If he becomes more consistent and patient, then the Timberwolves will have a scorer who can keep pace with the opposing number one option. Towns, meanwhile, is entering his prime. Considering he produced 24.6 PPG, 9.8 RPG, and 3.6 APG on a 52/41/82 shooting split last season, that realization is downright scary for the NBA. Minnesota added Gobert to this duo, so they have a formidable trio of stars who can take over games on both ends of the court. 
  • Interior Defense: Gobert, a 3x DPOY, will immediately lock down the paint for the Timberwolves. He stands 7’1” tall and sports a 7’9” wingspan, so opponents will have trouble attacking the rim. He held opponents to a 41.6 FG% despite facing a majority of paint attempts and guarding the second most FGA (20.8) per game. McDaniels, meanwhile, suffocated opponents by holding them to a 40.7 FG% on 11.2 FGA. He can be effective in all areas of the court, and his help defense will frustrate ball handlers. For their final hurdle, opponents must also navigate through Towns, who is 6’11” with a 7’4” wingspan. Overall, Minnesota has plenty of size and interior defensive talent, so teams must beat them through jump shots.  
  • Depth: Jaylen Nowell orchestrated 118 possessions as the pick and roll ball handler. For the 121 other players who at least matched that volume, Nowell ranked 1st in the NBA at 1.06 points per possession. He also shot a 38.1 3PT% on 112 catch and shoot 3PA, so Nowell can be effective on and off-ball. Bryn Forbes is a career 41.3% three-point shooter, while Taurean Prince provides Minnesota with a backup 3&D forward who made 38.5% of 193 catch and shoot 3PA. Kyle Anderson is a solid all-around player, and Naz Reid flashed range at the center position. That is a reliable bench five, and the Timberwolves still have Jordan McLaughlin, Austin Rivers, Wendell Moore Jr, Eric Paschall, and Nathan Knight. 

      Weaknesses

      • Perimeter Defense: D’Angelo Russell is a negative asset on the defensive end who can be mercilessly hunted by opponents. He struggles to stop the point of attack and constantly gets caught on screens. Gobert will aid him in the pick and roll, but Russell’s isolation defense is a severe problem. Edwards was disruptive when focused; however, he infrequently brought the necessary energy and hunger on defense. Gobert looked neutralized in the playoffs because Utah’s perimeter defense was atrocious. If the Timberwolves cannot boost their perimeter defense this season, then Gobert’s talents will not be maximized. 
      • Style Conflict: Minnesota led the NBA in pace during the regular season and playoffs, while Utah was 23rd in the regular season and last in the playoffs. Integrating Gobert into the lineup may disturb the root of their offensive success because the Timberwolves will be forced to tone down their run-and-gun style. It’s unclear whether it will affect Russell, Edwards, and Towns, but Minnesota may struggle initially to adjust. This weakness could be resolved in a few weeks or a few months, so its importance is unknown at this point. 
      • Karl-Anthony Towns’ Defense: Another weakness that is simply a question mark at this point. Can he survive full-time against forwards on the defensive end? He frequently played power forward last season because of Vanderbilt and McDaniels’ versatility. However, Towns could switch back to the center while Vanderbilt and McDaniels could seamlessly become wing-stoppers. That scenario is not an option anymore, as Gobert doesn’t have the capability to flawlessly take on that switch. If Towns can survive against forwards, then the Timberwolves are valid threats in the West.
        Braxton has been writing for Lineups since December 2021, covering everything betting from NBA to NFL to PGA to ATP. He is a senior at the University of Pennsylvania with a sports analytics background.He is fascinated in the identification and breakdown of trends that optimize success in the sports betting world.

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