Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Chargers Player Props (11/14/21)

The Vikings and Chargers have both had up-and-down seasons and are still in the hunt for playoff spots in their respective conferences. Minnesota has lost two straight games, although they were beating the Ravens for most of the contest last week, while the Chargers finally won last week for the first time in almost a month. This game has one of the highest over-under totals of the week, meaning there is plenty of value in player props. Let’s dive in.

Minnesota Vikings Vs. Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Search Tool

Dalvin Cook Over 90.5 Rushing Yards

The Chargers have allowed 161.6 rushing yards per game this season, by far the most in the NFL, and their run defense has not been fixed as that trend has continued into recent weeks – they allowed the Eagles to run for 176 yards last week. In the five games this season where Cook has been healthy, he has averaged 21.2 carries per game. Even if he runs at his average 4.8 YPC clip this season, he’d be over this yardage mark on that carry count. Factor in the matchup against the league’s worst run defense and what should be a high-paced, offensive game, and it’s hard to imagine how Cook doesn’t reach this yardage mark.

Jared Cook Under 31.5 Receiving Yards

You don’t need to bet on both of these props, but I’m targeting Jared Cook unders for this upcoming game. Cook’s role in the offense has fluctuated week-to-week and he’s only gone over 31.5 receiving yards in three of his eight games. Minnesota ranks as the sixth-best defense in the NFL in pass defense DVOA against the tight end position per Football Outsiders as Harrison Smith, Xavier Woods, and Eric Kendricks are all excellent in coverage against the position. Cook is averaging just 11.4 YPR this year, his lowest since his rookie season, and he doesn’t have a consistent enough role for this line to be priced this high.

Tyler Conklin Over 34.5 Receiving Yards

The Vikings have been elite against tight ends while the Chargers rank as the second-worst defense in pass DVOA allowed to tight ends this season. Tyler Conklin has become a reliable part of the Minnesota offense and has over 40 receiving yards in each of his last three games. With a 63% hit rate on this prop over the course of the season, Conklin is a good bet to hit this mark. Factor in the high over-under and pristine matchup, and I’m all over Conklin’s receiving line here.

Austin Ekeler Over 60.5 Rushing Yards

I’m surprised this line is priced so low given how well Austin Ekeler has been playing recently. Take out the horrendous road blowout loss to the Ravens, and Ekeler is averaging 76.5 rushing yards per game in his last five games. Minnesota is allowing 136.6 rushing yards per game, the third-most in the NFL, and Ekeler has averaged 12.6 carries per game this year at a 4.7 YPC clip. Seven of nine running backs have hit the over on their rushing yardage prop against Minnesota this season and I’m very much in on Ekeler doing the same.