Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Player Props & Picks (9/19/22)

Get NFL player prop odds & picks for the Monday Night Football game between the Vikings & Eagles.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Search Tool

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Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Picks

I’m excited for this Week 2 matchup between the Vikings and Eagles, and it’s probably the best matchup on deck for the week. Both teams are rapidly rising up everyone’s power rankings and the Super Bowl odds board, and both have exciting players who should excel this season. This article will focus on the top player prop plays in this matchup. You can use the Vikings vs. Eagles player prop search tool below to locate the best odds for whichever player prop you select.

Justin Jefferson Over 7.5 Receptions

Let’s get this game started with a player prop on a guy who was my preseason pick for the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award. Justin Jefferson is off to a tremendous start in Kevin O’Connell’s offense as he had nine catches for 184 yards and two touchdowns in Week 1 against a very good Packers’ defense.

Similar to the way Cooper Kupp was used, it’s clear O’Connell has no problem making his WR1 the overwhelming focal point of the offense. Jefferson had a 34.3% target share in Week 1, and he caught 90% of his targets. Interestingly, Jefferson lined up out wide for 61.8% of his snaps in Week 1 compared to Kupp who was in the slot for 66% of his snaps last year.

Regardless of where he lines up, you can expect the ball to go Jefferson’s way early and often. Kupp averaged 8.5 catches per game over the regular season and playoffs last year, and it’s only a matter of time before Jefferson’s player prop is at that number. This might be the last week where it’s at 7.5, so let’s capitalize.

Dalvin Cook Over 70.5 Rushing Yards

While the Vikings’ passing offense was firing on all cylinders, Dalvin Cook still got his fair share of work in Week 1 with 20 carries for 90 yards. This week, he faces a Philly defense that just allowed D’Andre Swift to run for 144 yards on just 15 carries (9.6 YPC). PFF graded the Eagles as the worst tackling defense in the NFL in Week 1.

Cook has gone over 70.5 rushing yards in four of his last five games and in ten of his last 14. He’s averaging 95.2 rushing yards per game over his last five. This is a significantly deflated line, and while Cook likely won’t average 9.6 yards a pop like Swift did, it might only take him a dozen carries to hit this number if the Eagles are tackling like that again this week.

Jalen Hurts Under 235.5 Passing Yards

The Eagles used a matchup against the Lions’ poor secondary as an opportunity to establish passing chemistry between Jalen Hurts and A.J. Brown. They won’t have the same luxury in Week 2 as the Vikings held Aaron Rodgers to 195 passing yards last week and ranked 12th in pass defense DVOA.

Meanwhile, the VIkings allowed the Packers to run for 6.2 yards per carry despite missing multiple offensive line starters. Minnesota ranked just 25th in DVOA against the run last season, and the early results don’t show much improvement as they ranked 29th against the run in Week 1.

Philadelphia has a deep backfield with several productive runners, including Jalen Hurts. Behind the offensive line that I ranked as the best in the NFL, the Eagles will likely have more success in this game running the ball than passing. While the presence of A.J. Brown changes the calculation somewhat, we know Nick Sirianni is comfortable pivoting to a run-heavy approach if the matchup calls for it.

Hurts has only averaged 192.9 passing yards over his last ten games and only went over the line of 235.5 yards in six of his 16 games last year. That’s a hit rate of just 37.5%, and it indicates strong value on the under here. If you’d like, playing Hurts’s rushing yardage over makes sense in conjunction with this prop.