MLB Daily Pennsylvania Pitch 8/1/19: FanDuel Sportsbook Betting Odds & Analysis
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The trade deadline has settled down, as Houston broke the baseball world by adding Zack Greinke to their rotation. Nick Castellanos is going to Chicago, which is a big right-handed bat. Other than that it was a business as usual for teams, and by that, I mean they stayed put. Looking back at last night, the bets went 2-1. Jacob deGrom hit his strikeout prop, while the Twins covered the spread. Philly were the only losers on the night. The total record is now 24-20.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox Over 10.5
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: -120
The over continues to roll in Fenway over the last six-seven games between AL East opponents. The over is 2-1 in the last three starts by Brendan McKay and the same goes for Andrew Cashner. Both the games going under were against Baltimore. The over is 35-20 for Boston at home this season, and in divisional games the over has been more favorable for both sides. In the last ten Boston games the over is 8-2. Cashner’s move to Boston wasn’t a highly touted one, given he is over-performing based on ERA estimators. He has allowed 12 ER over his last three starts. Boston’s offense continues to crush, and this is looking like another shootout.
Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves -1.5
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: +124
Cincinnati is a middle of the road team against left-handed pitching, and don’t offer up much power outside of Eugenio Suarez. Max Fried is on the hill against the Reds tonight, taking on Anthony DeSclafani. He isn’t a bad arm, but struggles with left-handed hitters. The Braves are playing solid baseball right now and lead the division by 6.5 games. The Reds have lost two of the last three in games where DeSclafani has started, where the Braves are 2-1 backing Fried. His 11 wins lead the Braves arms, and we are glad they at least added some bullpen arms at the deadline. The Reds are a poor road team going 21-30 this season, and the Braves have been money at home.
San Diego Padres Over 3 Team Total
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: -128
Clayton Kershaw is still a terrific pitcher, but he isn’t the auto lock he once was against the Padres. These are the team totals we are used to from prior years, but the Padres offense has been much better against left-handed pitching this season. Their projected lineup has a combined .420 wOBA and .270 ISO off southpaws this season. Kershaw’s strikeout stuff isn’t as good as prior years, but still at 25%. He is allowing a 74% contact rate, which is also higher than prior years. The Padres have pushed the team total in each of their last three starts against Kershaw this season. They will flirt with three runs, but I will take a few of the San Diego bats to push them over tonight.
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