MLB Daily Pennsylvania Pitch 8/10/19: FanDuel Sportsbook Betting Odds & Analysis
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It was a 3-0 night, after the Rays-Mariners gave us a scare for the under in the ninth, but eventually hit the under. The Cardinals were a plus money hit covering the spread against Pittsburgh, and Walker Buehler hit the over on his strikeout prop. The total record is now 41-28. Looking at tonight’s slate we have a lot of subpar totals, as Vegas is expecting lower scoring games. It makes sense given the ballparks and pitching options going on.
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets Under 8
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: -112
Generally I have looked at the NL East pitching matchups as a chance to pound the over, mainly because names like Nola, Syndergaard, Corbin, and so on were either unlucky or not in great form in the season. It is a bit different tonight, as Syndergaard is in the midst of a terrific stretch, and the same goes for Corbin. This is also a crucial game for both teams as they are in the hunt for the playoffs. Both teams have averaged under five runs per game this season, and the under has been favorable of late for both sides. In the last three meetings with Washington for Syndergaard, the under is 1-1-1. As for Corbin against the Mets, the under is 1-2. What scares me is the horrendous bullpen play of late, where a backdoor over could happen.
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres -1.5
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: -104
The Padres and Rockies square off with two arms that are on different sides of the spectrum. Chi Chi Gonzalez has over a five ERA this season, and somehow found his way back pitching in the majors. Chris Paddack is one of the up and coming studs and has already established himself as a strong arm. Both teams are 5-5 in the last ten meetings at Colorado, although the Padres are looking for their third win in a row. The Rockies have a bottom five offense on the road, and strikeout at an extreme rate. For one I am backing Paddack to have a strong outing, but also the Padres offense should be able to get to Gonzalez. San Diego also has the edge when looking at bullpens. They are not the greatest team in the world ATS, but this is a good spot.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Over 8.5
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: -110
The over is 5-4-1 over the last ten games between these two at Dodger Stadium. We had some fireworks last night after the ending of the game, but offensively there should be fireworks tonight. Both offenses are more than capable of going off, and I am not sold on either of these two arms. Alex Young has been quite lucky with a .182 BABIP and his ERA estimators suggest things should get worse. He doesn’t miss many bats, and is going up against one of the top offenses in baseball. Kenta Maeda has been in poor form, allowing 13 ERA over his last three starts. His numbers are more in line with a league average right-hander, although the xFIP and ERA are climbing.
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