MLB FanDuel Sportsbook Betting Picks Pennsylvania: Lines & Odds – 7/31/19

Tuesday’s Results: 2-1
All Time Results: 59-68-2, -4.73

Colorado Rockies +120 vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Hyu-Jin Ryu (11-2, 1.74 ERA) is having an awesome campaign, but I could see him having a set back in this one. Pitchers that pitch to contact always have a chance of being taken deep in the thin air of Coors Field.  Just to use one example, Hall of Famer and Control-Legend, Greg Maddox had a 5.2 ERA when pitching at Coors Field, his second highest of any park he pitched at on more than four occasions.

rockiesCoors Field for Ryu too has historically been a tough place to play.  For his career, Ryu is 1-4 at Coors Field with a 9.15 ERA, both his worst at any venue.  Ryu’s worst performance of the season came on June 28th when he gave up 7 earned in only 4 innings to these Rockies in Colorado. The Dodgers are 2-5 in Ryu’s last 7 starts in Denver.

Even with the best record in baseball, the Dodgers have been a good-not-great team on the road. Their 30-25 Away record is only 8th in the Majors, 1/2 game ahead of the San Francisco Giants.

Rockies starter, German Marquez (10-5, 4.87 ERA) has been a solid arm at home for his career. Although, Marquez has been shelled several times at home this season, for his career, Marquez has a home ERA of 3.58 vs. a road ERA of 5.16. This divergence is even more telling given that all Marquez’s home games have been here at the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.

Look for Marquez to best Ryu and the Rockies to steal the upset.

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Washington Nationals +110 vs. Atlanta Braves

The tape is getting out there on Atlanta Braves Ace, Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.44 ERA). As great as Soroka has been in 2019 – there are signs that teams are starting to better prepare for the first time All Star. In his first 14 starts, Soroka allowed more than 2 earned runs on just three occasions, allowed more than 7 hits just once and lasted to the 6th inning in all his games but one.  In his last 4 starts, Soroka has allowed 4 earned runs twice, 8+ hits three times and didn’t make it out of the 4th inning twice.

nationalsNationals starter, Anibal Sanchez has been trending in the other direction after a rough start. Over his last 3 months, Sanchez has a 2.84 ERA.  The Nationals are 8-3 in his last 11 starts, and in Nationals Park opponents only hit .224 off Sanchez.

The Nationals have gotten to and beaten this Braves bullpen all series long – to the tune of 8 earned in 5 innings of work for the Atlanta relievers. I look for more of the same here as Anthony Rendon‘s  continues to mount a late campaign for MVP.

Cleveland Indians +127 vs. Houston Astros

Making it 3 for 3 with home dogs today. The hottest team in baseball over the past month should be able to avoid a sweep, right?

Well we’ll see.  I for one am backing Terry Francona’s men to embrace the roster shake up and earn a win.

indiansThe Tribe just traded away firebrand pitcher Trevor Bauer for a haul that included Yasiel Puig. While Puig – who was ejected last night in Cincinnati after the trade news had broken – will likely not be in the Indians lineup tonight, the fact that deal is done allows the team a sigh of relief and renewed focus on the task at hand.

Astros starter Jose Urquidy (1-0, 4.26 ERA) is not the pitcher Justin Verlander is, and I like the Indians bats to fire back after being shut out last night.

Indians starter, Zach Plesac (5-3, 3.10 ERA) has been solid. The Indians are 8-3 when the rookie starts, including winning 6 of their last 7. At home, he has been even better, with a 2.86 ERA.

The Indians bounce back with a heartening team win tonight.

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Born in Chicago, born for Las Vegas, Mackenzie is a graduate of Yale University with a BA in English & Creative Writting. Mackenzie runs AlternativeStats.blog, which seeks to by-pass the minutiae of commonly cited sports statistics and expose the heart of what drives athletic success. After several successful years investing in Las Vegas real estate, Mackenzie is excited to transition in 2019 into betting on sports full time, as well as documenting his thought process as he further learns the craft.

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