2025 NBA Draft Odds: Mavericks Favored To Pick Cooper Flagg; Who’s Next?

Despite having a 1.8% chance of winning the NBA draft lottery, the Dallas Mavericks shocked the basketball world, landing the No. 1 overall pick in the NBA draft and earning the right to select Duke product Cooper Flagg. In August 2023, Flagg announced his decision to graduate from high school a year early. He’s been considered the frontrunner for this year’s draft class ever since. Let’s inspect the opening NBA draft odds for Flagg and the rest of the top prospects.

NBA Draft No. 1 Pick Odds: Mavericks Favored To Pick Cooper Flagg

PlayerOdds
Cooper Flagg-20000
Dylan Harper+1800
Ace Bailey+5000
VJ Edgecombe+6000
Tre Johnson+10000
Kon Knueppel+10000
Khaman Maluach+10000
Jeremiah Fears+10000
Derik Queen+25000

NBA Draft No. 2 Pick Odds (San Antonio Spurs)

PlayerOdds
Dylan Harper-1600
Ace Bailey+1000
VJ Edgecombe+1700
Cooper Flagg+5000
Tre Johnson+6000
Khaman Maluach+8000
Kon Knueppel+8000
Jeremiah Fears+10000
Derik Queen+15000

NBA Draft No. 3 Pick Odds (Philadelphia 76ers)

PlayerOdds
Ace Bailey-115
VJ Edgecombe+165
Tre Johnson+370
Kon Knueppel+2000
Khaman Maluach+2200
Dylan Harper+4000
Jeremiah Fears+5000
Cooper Flagg+7500

Analyzing Cooper Flagg’s Odds

Just like Victor Wembanyama was the odds-on favorite (and then some) to go first overall to the Spurs in the 2023 NBA Draft, Duke’s Cooper Flagg is a substantial favorite (-20000 at DraftKings Sportsbook) this time. The John R. Wooden Award winner manufactured one of the most historic freshman campaigns in college basketball history, averaging 18.9 points, 7.5 rebounds, 4.2 assists, 1.3 blocks, and 1.4 steals per game.

Even though the Utah Jazz just wrapped up their worst season in franchise history, they failed to attain the rights to the No. 1 pick. Instead, the Mavericks will most likely snag Flagg after an unforeseen turn of events.

Dallas, which has never won before, can build around another star after its shocking decision to trade Luka Dončić to the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Best Of The Rest

Dylan Harper, who’s below Flagg on the odds board and is heavily favored to head to San Antonio, failed to produce an NCAA tourney berth in his lone season at Rutgers. Still, the youngest son of former NBA star Ron Harper boasts a high-floor IQ with the poise and playmaking instincts that help dictate the game at his pace.

Ace Bailey, Harper’s collegiate teammate, is an elite shot creator off the dribble against any type of defense. The 6-foot-8 forward’s shooting efficiency graded in the 65th percentile or higher at the rim, in the paint, via mid-range jumpers, and on above-the-break triples (via CBB Analytics). However, he struggled in the catch-and-shoot department. There’s also V.J. Edgecombe, who showcases a smaller frame at 6-foot-5 and shot 35.5% from behind the arc from the new year onward — an improvement of 6.9 percentage points.

Surprisingly, both Bailey and Edgecombe’s odds of going third overall have dipped slightly since opening. Texas product Tre Johnson, who has skyrocketed up draft boards during the last few months, was immediately bet down from +500 to +370. Johnson was one of the best scorers in college basketball last season, accumulating 19.9 points per game, and would fill an immediate need for Philly. Nevertheless, his defense leaves plenty to be desired.

Elsewhere, which big man will hear his name called first? The headliners are Maryland’s Derik Queen and Duke’s Khaman Maluach.

The 6-foot-10 Queen is a modern post player who can attack the rim from outside the paint and finish through contact. Maluach, who stands at 7-foot-1, is a more traditional center. In his lone season at Duke, he routinely showcased his rim-running and shot-blocking prowess.

Unlike Queen, Maluach impacts the action on both ends, averaging 8.6 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks per game.

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Post
Eli Hershkovich is a content editor for Catena Media. He’s been gambling for over a decade. His goal is to provide you with data and market insight to help lead you to winning bets. Eli specializes in college basketball, NFL, MLB, and the sports gambling landscape but is most well-known for his futures bets on the hardwood. Three seasons ago, he cashed his 50-1 UConn ticket. He still hasn’t forgiven Virginia (and the refs) for ruining his 100-1 Texas Tech futures in the 2019 NCAA Tournament.

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