2025 NBA Mock Draft Betting Odds 2.0: Will Ace Bailey Slide Past 76ers To Wizards?

We’re hours away from the 2025 NBA Draft. To get a sense of where the top prospects may land, I’ve compiled an NBA mock draft for the first round, with betting odds for the first 10 lottery picks. I’ll also inspect the biggest storylines surrounding these prices at DraftKings Sportsbook and BetMGM Sportsbook. For more analysis, check out how I’m wagering on Adou Thiero’s draft prop.

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NBA Mock Draft Betting Odds 2.0: No. 1-10 Lottery Picks

No. 1 Pick (Dallas Mavericks): Cooper Flagg, F, Duke

NameDraftKings OddsBetMGM Odds
Cooper Flagg-20000-10000
Dylan Harper+15000+20000
Ace Bailey+18000+25000
VJ Edgecombe
+18000+25000

No. 2 Pick (San Antonio Spurs): Dylan Harper, G, Rutgers

NameDraftKings OddsBetMGM Odds
Dylan Harper-8000-10000
VJ Edgecombe
+2000+2500
Ace Bailey+3000+2500
Tre Johnson+20000N/A

No. 3 Pick (Philadelphia 76ers): V.J. Edgecombe, G, Baylor

NameDraftKings OddsBetMGM Odds
VJ Edgecombe
-600-750
Tre Johnson
+650+800
Ace Bailey+650+600
Kon Knueppel+750+1000

No. 4 Pick (Charlotte Hornets): Kon Knueppel, G/F, Duke

NameDraftKings OddsBetMGM Odds
Kon Knueppel-250-300
Ace Bailey+400+375
VJ Edgecombe
+500+550
Tre Johnson
+750+900

No. 5 Pick (Utah Jazz): Jeremiah Fears, G, Oklahoma

NameDraftKings OddsBetMGM Odds
Jeremiah Fears
+110-135
Tre Johnson
+250+250
Ace Bailey+300+300
Kon Knueppel+650+600

No. 6 Pick (Washington Wizards): Airious “Ace” Bailey, F, Rutgers

NameDraftKings OddsBetMGM Odds
Ace Bailey-110-150
Jeremiah Fears
+350+375
Tre Johnson+550+600
Khaman Maluach
+700+750

No. 7 Pick (New Orleans Pelicans): Khaman Maluach, C, Duke

NameDraftKings OddsBetMGM Odds
Khaman Maluach
+200+220
Jeremiah Fears
+425+350
Tre Johnson+425+400
Ace Bailey+650+600

No. 8 Pick (Brooklyn Nets): Tre Johnson, G, Texas

NameDraftKings OddsBetMGM Odds
Tre Johnson+300+350
Jeremiah Fears
+450+425
Khaman Maluach
+550+475
Noa Essengue
+650+700

No. 9 Pick (Toronto Raptors): Noa Essengue, F, France

NameDraftKings OddsBetMGM Odds
Noa Essengue
+225+150
Khaman Maluach
+250+275
Derik Queen+500+550
Carter Bryant+600+550

No. 10 Pick (Houston Rockets): Derik Queen, C, Maryland

NameDraftKings OddsBetMGM Odds
Derik Queen+350+300
Carter Bryant
+425+450
Collin Murray-Boyles
+600+600
Kasparas Jakucionis
+600+1000

2025 NBA Mock Draft: How Far Will Ace Bailey Fall?

Among NBA draft odds, the most intriguing storyline revolves around where Bailey will end up.

When NBA draft betting opened in mid-May, the Rutgers product was lined near +105 to go No. 3 overall before his odds shifted as high as -135. Nevertheless, his draft stock took a hit after a last-minute workout cancellation with the Philadelphia 76ers. Per the table above, Bailey is now listed at +650 at DraftKings.

By converting these odds to implied probability, there’s a 13.3% chance that he lands with the 76ers or a team that trades up to this spot.

Bailey is still a -250 odds-on favorite to hear his name called inside the top-five picks. However, his pre-draft interviews at the combine reportedly caught teams off guard, with Bailey seeming ill-prepared. As a result, he isn’t favored for a particular selection until the No. 6 overall pick.

In fact, his betting odds in this market shrank from +220 to -150 on Wednesday afternoon. On paper, the Washington Wizards are an ideal fit, with time on their side to allow for Bailey’s development.

In the last six months, the Wizards acquired veterans Khris Middleton and Marcus Smart before swapping Jordan Poole for C.J. McCollum in a four-player deal on Tuesday.

Alongside Alex Sarr, Bilal Coulibaly, and Bub Carrington, Bailey would help provide the organization with a high-upside backcourt in the long term. Some draft pundits have pegged Bailey as the next Kevin Durant. Others criticized his failure to propel Rutgers to the NCAA tournament as a cause for concern. Regardless, the market has reason to buy into Bailey’s potential draft slide.

NBA Mock Draft 2.0: Remaining First-Round Picks

  • No. 11 Pick (Portland Trail Blazers): Collin Murray-Boyles, F, South Carolina
  • No. 12 Pick (Chicago Bulls): Asa Newell, F, Georgia
  • No. 13 Pick (Atlanta Hawks): Joan Beringer, C, Cedevita Olimpija
  • No. 14 Pick (San Antonio Spurs): Thomas Sorber, F/C, Georgetown
  • No. 15 Pick (Oklahoma City Thunder): Kasparas Jakučionis, G, Illinois
  • No. 16 Pick (Memphis Grizzlies): Carter Bryant, G, Arizona
  • No. 17 Pick (Minnesota Timberwolves): Egor Demin, G, BYU
  • No. 18 Pick (Washington Wizards): Cedric Coward, G, Washington State
  • No. 19 Pick (Brooklyn Nets): Liam McNeeley, F, Connecticut
  • No. 20 Pick (Miami Heat): Walter Clayton Jr., G, Florida
  • No. 21 Pick (Utah Jazz): Jase Richardson, G, Michigan State
  • No. 22 Pick (Brooklyn Nets): Nique Clifford, G, Colorado State
  • No. 23 Pick (New Orleans Pelicans): Will Riley, F, Illinois
  • No. 24 Pick (Oklahoma City Thunder): Nolan Traoré, G, Saint-Quentin
  • No. 25 Pick (Orlando Magic): Maxime Raynaud, F/C, Stanford
  • No. 26 Pick (Brooklyn Nets): Danny Wolf, C, Michigan
  • No. 27 Pick (Brooklyn Nets): Drake Powell, G/F, North Carolina
  • No. 28 Pick (Boston Celtics): Adou Thiero, F, Arkansas
  • No. 29 Pick (Phoenix Suns): Ryan Kalkbrenner, C, Creighton
  • No. 30 Pick (Los Angeles Clippers): Rasheer Fleming, F, Saint Joseph’s

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Post
Eli Hershkovich is a content editor for Catena Media. He’s been gambling for over a decade. His goal is to provide you with data and market insight to help lead you to winning bets. Eli specializes in college basketball, NFL, MLB, and the sports gambling landscape. He's most well-known for his futures bets on the hardwood. Three seasons ago, he cashed his 50-1 UConn ticket. He still hasn’t forgiven Virginia (and the refs) for ruining his 100-1 Texas Tech futures in the 2019 NCAA Tournament.

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