NBA Player Prop Picks & Odds (4/19/23): Lakers vs Grizzlies, Heat vs Bucks, & Timberwolves vs Nuggets
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NBA Player Prop Picks (4/19/23)
The 2023 NBA Playoffs continue, and we will keep rolling with our favorite player props and best bets for the Wednesday, April 19, 2023, slate. Below, we detail our analysis for three players that we are bullish on for their respective Game 2s, so take a look and see if you want to tail!
Jaren Jackson Jr o22.5 Points (-110): Bet $10 Win $9.09
We are witnessing the emergence of a star before our eyes. Jaren Jackson Jr has flashed potential often, especially on the defensive end, throughout his five-year NBA career; however, recently, he has been terrorizing defenses with his offensive skill set.
In Game 1, Jackson finished with 31 points on an efficient 13-21 shooting from the floor. When Jackson can stay on the floor and out of foul trouble, he has proven to be a force; he has played 35 minutes (rounded up) in just six games this season, and in all of those games, he finished with 23 or more points.
Ja Morant’s potential absence will force the Grizzlies to lean on Jackson for offense. Even if Morant can play, he might not be 100%, opening the door for “Triple J” to have a big night.
This prop will have success as long as Jackson can stay on the floor, which has been a challenge at times this season. Still, the risk is worth the reward with Jackson; he has looked unstoppable in the paint recently, particularly with a shorter LeBron James defending him.
Jamal Murray o33.5 Points (-110): Bet $10 Win $9.09
If Game 1 against the Minnesota Timberwolves was any indication of how Jamal Murray will be playing for the remainder of the series, then we are in great shape with this prop. Murray had a 32.2 usage rate (26.1 average during the 2022-23 season) while posting a 24/8/8 line on 9-22 shooting from the floor, according to Statmuse.
While Jokic’s foul trouble, and a blowout in the game, certainly aided Murray’s output, we should still see him be heavily featured in this series. For one, Murray is being guarded by Mike Conley, who has not been known for his defense in recent years. As a matter of fact, he has an individual defensive rating of 117.8, a number that is far from desirable. Further, he is quite a bit shorter than Murray, who is 6-foot-4.
The Timberwolves allow the fourth-most points and third-most rebounds to opposing point guards, furthering the narrative that Murray is in for a big series. His volume was abundant, and with Jokic receiving so much attention, it would not shock me to see him shoot 22-24 times again in Game 2.
Jrue Holiday o31.5 PRA (-105): Bet $10 Win $9.52
There isn’t a number that can scare me off Jrue Holiday props for Game 2. Holiday finished with 16 points, 16 assists, and seven rebounds in Game 1, clearing this prop with ease, despite shooting just 6-18 from the field. Holiday is not afraid to shoot, even when he is missing, so the volume should be there once again. Further, he has hit this prop with flying colors in three-straight games, and with so much of the Heat’s emphasis being on Giannis (if he plays), Holiday should be open/free quite a bit.
Giannis’ status is still very much in the air (upgraded from doubtful to questionable), so Holiday could be in for another huge day, even if he does play. If the Bucks get out to an early lead, Giannis may not see the floor as much, giving Holiday the ultimate green light to run the offense and shoot as much as he wants.