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NBA Player Prop Picks (4/22/23)
The NBA’s Saturday, April 22, 2023, slate is filled with pivotal games that could swing the outlook of certain series, including Philadelphia versus Brooklyn, Phoenix versus Los Angeles (Clippers), Milwaukee versus Miami, and Memphis versus Los Angeles (Lakers.) For these games, we will detail our in-depth analysis of our favorite player props and betting picks below.
LeBron James Alt Points 40+ (+650)
This is a fun flier to throw a quarter unit on, especially in a huge, potentially series-shifting Game 3. LeBron will be in front of his home crowd at Crypto.com Arena, and he has been “poked” by Dillon Brooks’ seemingly condescending and borderline disrespectful comments after the last game.
Brooks indicated that he does not “respect” anyone unless they drop 40 points on him. While James certainly has the maturity to ignore this and turn the other cheek, focusing purely on grabbing a win in this spot, it also would not shock any of us to see him put on a clinic.
Mikal Bridges o4.5 Rebounds (-135)
Brooklyn needs all the help it can get on the glass; it has been towards the bottom of the league in all rebounding metrics during the 2022-23 season. With Ben Simmons still out for the remainder of the year and Nic Claxton being the only decent rebounder in the frontcourt, the Nets have to lean on other players like Mikal Bridges to chip in a bit more than usual.
Bridges has answered the bell for Brooklyn, despite not being known as a great rebounder; he has covered this line in all three first-round games against Philadelphia and in six of his past seven overall.
In a do-or-die playoff game that could result in a sweep for Brooklyn, expect Mikal Bridges to play between 43-45 minutes per game; he is the NBA’s “Iron Man,” after all. Philadelphia will feel no pressure to close this game out, so Brooklyn’s sense of urgency should be apparent. The Sixers should be out-hustled, at least to begin the game, as pride is on the line for this Nets team, and Bridges is one of the best “lead by example” players in the league. Expect him to get to six or seven rebounds fairly easily.
Russell Westbrook o40.5 PRA (-120)
With Kawhi Leonard set to miss his second-straight game due to a knee sprain, Russell Westbrook has the ultimate “green light.” If Los Angeles wants even an outside shot at beating the Suns without Kawhi and Paul George, Westbrook has to have a vintage game.
The good news is we just saw him do that against Phoenix in his last game, a narrow home loss to fall back to 1-2 in the series. Westbrook finished with 30 points, 12 assists, and eight rebounds while playing 40 minute; he also shot 23 times, which is the most shot attempts he has had in a game since January, according to his season game logs. Further, his usage rate was a staggering 34.1 in the Clippers’ Game 3 loss to Phoenix.
This line looks scary, but it is about as close to a “must-win” game as could exist, especially with Kawhi Leonard out for Game 4, and Westbrook will be the No. 1 option. He’s going to leave it all on the floor.