NBA Player Prop Picks & Odds (4/23/23): Cavs vs Knicks, Kings vs Warriors, Celtics vs Hawks, & Nuggets vs Timberwolves
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NBA Player Prop Picks (4/23/23)
Let the crucial Game 4s begin! The Golden State Warriors, Cleveland Cavaliers, and Atlanta Hawks will all try to even their series at two apiece against Sacramento, New York, and Boston, respectively. Check out our favorite betting picks and player props from the slated games for Sunday, April 23, 2023, below.
Dejounte Murray o21.5 Points (-120)
It is a bit of a surprise to see the point total at this number for Murray, especially after he has hit it in all three games of the Hawks’ first-round series against the Boston Celtics. Murray has been the reason that Atlanta has been even remotely competitive in a few of these games, posting impressive offensive numbers and carrying Atlanta on his back.
In this series, Murray has averaged 26 points, 6.7 rebounds, 5.7 assists, and 2.7 steals per game on a 46/36/100 shooting split. While he could always be a bit more efficient, it is hard to nit-pick these numbers against a stout Celtics defense that is absolutely in playoff form.
What makes this prop so viable is Murray’s volume; he has reached 21, 24, and 25 FGAs in his last three games. If he hits this kind of volume for a fourth-consecutive game, he will hit the over more often than not.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope o1.5 Threes (+100)
As far as percentage is concerned, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is one of the best (or, at least, most consistent) three-point shooters in the NBA. That corner pocket three is his signature shot, similar to a player like P.J. Tucker. KCP has been shooting the ball exceptionally well recently, hitting 6-14 from deep through his first three playoff games and 12-22 overall in his past four games.
As long as the volume is there, KCP should hit the over on this line more often than not. Why? Well, for one, the Timberwolves have their back against the wall in Game 4 and have to force players besides Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and Michael Porter Jr to beat them.
Further, Minnesota ranks 24th in opponent 3P% (three-point percentage), clearly evidencing its issues defending the perimeter. Expect KCP to get plenty of clean looks, and with how he has been shooting, at least hit two of them.
Keegan Murray o6.5 Points (-105)
Keegan Murray has undoubtedly just gone through the worst three-game stretch of his rookie season, especially considering that he is freshly removed from having set the rookie record for most three-pointers in a season.
Murray’s shooting struggles have been just a microcosm of Sacramento’s in this series; he has gone 3-13 from the floor and 1-8 from behind the arc, but the Kings as a whole have not been a lot better. Despite leading the series 2-1, Sacramento has plummeted offensively, hitting just 19-72 wide-open threes, per NBA.com.
So, why are we bullish on Murray? Simple. It’s a great buy-low opportunity for a team that is destined to benefit from the “law of averages.”
This Kings team has been the best offensive team all season, while Golden State has looked very shaky on the defensive end for most of the 2022-23 campaign. This will be another fast-paced game with a ton of scoring, and Murray should have plenty of clean looks from behind the arc, in transition, and off of put-backs on offensive rebounds. As long as Murray plays 20-25 minutes, our chances of hitting this over are strong.