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NBA Player Prop Picks (5/4/23)
Once again, we will only have one game for our Thursday night slate: Los Angeles versus Golden State. The Lakers stole a huge road win in Game 1 and will be looking to add on to that series lead in Game 2.
Meanwhile, the Warriors are in a must-win situation to avoid going down 0-2. Check out our favorite player props for this pivotal Game 2 matchup to see which players we are high on in this spot!
Anthony Davis o2.5 Assists (+110)
Game 1 of the Western Conference Semi-Finals between the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors should be referred to from here on out as the “Anthony Davis Masterclass.” Davis finished Game 1 with 30 points on 11-19 shooting from the field. Additionally, he pulled down 23 rebounds, dished out five assists, and recorded four blocks.
Although Davis has logged three or more assists in just three of the seven Lakers playoff games thus far, there should be optimism about him replicating his five-assist performance from Game 1.
Davis just eviscerated the Warriors’ defense in every way, so he should start to draw more double-teams and hold an even higher gravity than he already does. It is unlikely that Golden State will want Davis to be the one that beats it in Game 2, so a more concerted effort on stopping AD should be expected.
This is an excellent opportunity to take advantage of Davis’ matchup and the inevitable defensive game plan change from Golden State at plus odds value.
Kevon Looney o13.5 Rebounds (-115)
Even before Game 1 against the Lakers, Kevon Looney had been rebounding at an absurd rate; however, after just posting his personal career-high for rebounds in a single game, it is difficult to identify exactly where his ceiling rests.
Looney’s recent rebounding numbers look more like point totals for borderline All-Stars than rebounds; he has averaged 16.1 rebounds in the playoffs and 18.8 rebounds in his past six games. The one game where Looney failed to grab 14 boards was against Sacramento; he only played 27 minutes.
Luckily, Looney will have no choice but to log 30 or more minutes in this series against a bigger Lakers team. As far as defending Anthony Davis goes, Golden State does not have any tremendous second options, as Draymond Green is not quite big enough and could get in foul trouble, while Andrew Wiggins will always be stuck like glue on LeBron.
Further, Looney’s impact has been so substantial so far in the 2023 NBA playoffs that it would make no sense to let him ride the bench, especially in such a crucial Game 2, where losing cannot be an option for the Dubs.
Andrew Wiggins o5.5 Rebounds (-140)
Even though we missed out on Wiggins hitting his rebound prop in Game 5 of the Warriors’ first-round series against the Sacramento Kings, he has still displayed terrific rebounding prowess and effort in his past several games.
As a matter of fact, Wiggins has hit the over on this line in five of his past six games. Further, in four of those five games, he secured at least seven or more rebounds, clearing this line with ease. Against this Lakers team that has a clear advantage on the glass, Wiggins will be leaned upon heavily in this series to fill in the gaps that Looney can’t get to.
As mentioned in a previous player props article, Wiggins averaged 7.5 rebounds per game in last season’s playoffs (22 games.) Further, his matchup against Los Angeles is favorable, as the Lakers allow the sixth-most rebounds per game to opposing small forwards this season.
Lastly, if Austin Reaves ever switches on to Wiggins, he will have a massive advantage; he nearly got three-straight offensive rebounds on one possession with Reaves trying to box him out.