New Orleans Saints Super Bowl Odds 2024: Latest Super Bowl 58 Odds

The New Orleans Saints currently have odds to win Super Bowl 58. After starting the year with a pair of wins, the Saints were well on their way to a 3-0 start but allowed a major comeback from Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers, dropping the team down to 2-1. It’s been a very up-and-down campaign since then, featuring both disappointing losses and emphatic, signature wins. Most recently, they picked up a huge win over the Chicago Bears, boosting them over .500 and granting them sole possession of first place in the NFC South- for now. Last season, New Orleans missed out on the playoffs with a 7-10 record, a step down from a 9-8 finish in 2021 and a divisional round appearance in 2020. With a stout defense as always, and solid targets for new starting QB Derek Carr in Michael Thomas and Chris Olave, this Saints team is quietly talented, and their Super Bowl odds reflect a real chance to make a run coming out of a messy NFC South.

New Orleans Saints Super Bowl Odds & Futures 2023-24

The Saints’ odds have them pegged as an intriguing longshot for a run at the coveted Super Bowl trophy as they benefit from being in a relatively weak division, although the NFC South as well as the conference at large have both been stronger than expected to start the year. Carr had potentially his best game yet in New Orleans in week eight against the Colts, and if he can play that way on a more consistent basis, the Saints can find themselves as a potential sleeper come playoff time.

New Orleans Saints Super Bowl Odds Analysis

What gives me pause in adding them to my Super Bowl portfolio is the uncertainty of Carr’s ability to consistently play at a top-10 level. He has shown flashes during his stint with the Raiders, but turnover issues and his inability to find success in the red zone does not exactly equate to the level of play needed to win the Super Bowl. Throughout his first few games in New Orleans, the concerns seem to be real, as his performance has been very spotty thus far.

The good news for Carr is that he is surrounded by productive weapons. The return of Michael Thomas gives Carr multiple weapons on the outside as second year stud Chris Olave proved to be a go-to target for Saints passers in his rookie year last season.

Not only is Carr set at the receiver position, but also gets the services of stud dual threat running back Alvin Kamara, as the versatile star has finally returned from his three-week suspension, and was slow to get involved with the New Orleans offense, although he showed plenty of flashes of his old self against the Patriots, and has become a major spark for the New Orleans offense once more. To combat his suspension, the Saints signed former Lions running back Jamaal Williams who is coming off a career best season in yards and touchdowns; he scored a league-best 17 on the ground, but got off to an awful start this season.

As for the defense, this was a top-10 unit in Def DVOA, and they look to bring back the bulk of their core, which routinely gave opposing offenses fits by relentlessly generating pressure in the backfield. They did lose some depth on the defensive line at the start of free agency, making that their primary target of need come draft time. They managed to fill some of that depth by selecting Clemson defensive tackle Bryan Bresee with their first-round pick.

Bresee was once thought of as a mid-first rounder, suffering a slide down the draft board by a mixture of a poor draft process and lack of positional need. Defensive tackles normally need to be generational talents to be considered early picks, giving the Saints the benefit of getting him later in the draft. If he can produce a bit more as his rookie season progresses, then the Saints will be in a good position to repeat the same success they had last year on the defensive side of things.

Reasons Why Saints Can & Can’t Win Super Bowl 58

Strengths:

• Possibly the best secondary in football
• Potential big upgrade at quarterback with Derek Carr under center
• Olave expected to continue his progression as a true go-to target at receiver

Weaknesses:

• Lack of depth at receiver with no true third option
• Unproductive running game even with Kamara back
• Carr’s red zone issues and lack of playoff experience