The New Orleans Saints currently have odds to win Super Bowl 58. After starting the year with a pair of wins, the Saints were well on their way to a 3-0 start but allowed a major comeback from Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers, dropping the team down to 2-1. Last season, they missed out on the playoffs with a 7-10 record, a step down from a 9-8 finish in 2021 and a divisional round appearance in 2020. With a stout defense as always, and solid targets for new starting QB Derek Carr in Michael Thomas and Chris Olave, this Saints team is quietly talented, and their Super Bowl odds reflect a real chance to make a run in a very weak NFC South.
New Orleans Saints Super Bowl Odds & Futures 2023-24
|New Orleans Saints Super Bowl Odds & Futures||Odds (Updated September 2023)|
|Super Bowl 57 Odds|
|NFC Winner Odds|
|NFC South Odds|
|To Make Playoffs Odds|
|Saints Win Total Odds|
Having struggled to find production at the quarterback position since the retirement of Drew Brees, the Saints are hoping that their trade for Carr will provide them with an answer. As Carr is 32 years old, it’s hard to know how long he might be in New Orleans, but his presence should help the team stay competitive as they gear the roster towards the future.
Their odds have them pegged as an intriguing longshot for a run at the coveted Super Bowl trophy as the Saints benefit from being in a very weak division, and a weak NFC as a whole. Should Carr be an immediate step up in production, the Saints can find themselves as a potential sleeper come playoff time.
New Orleans Saints Super Bowl Odds Analysis
What gives me pause in adding them to my Super Bowl portfolio is the uncertainty of Derek Carr’s ability to consistently play at a top-10 level. He has shown flashes during his stint at Las Vegas, but turnover issues and his inability to find success in the red zone does not exactly equate to the level of play needed to win the Super Bowl. Throughout his first few games in New Orleans, the concerns seem to be real, as his performance has been very spotty thus far.
The good news for Carr is that he is surrounded by productive weapons. Michael Thomas returning to play gives Carr multiple weapons on the outside as then-rookie Chris Olave proved to be a go-to target for Saints passers in his first year in the NFL last season.
Not only is Carr set at the receiver position, but also gets the services of stud dual threat running back Alvin Kamara, as the versatile star is finally returning from his three-week suspension. To combat this suspension, the Saints signed former Lions running back Jamaal Williams who is coming off a career best season in yards and touchdowns; he scored a league-best 17 on the ground, but got off to an awful start this season.
As for the defense, this was a top-10 unit in Def DVOA, and they look to bring back the bulk of their core, which routinely gave opposing offenses fits by relentlessly generating pressure in the backfield. They did lose some depth on the defensive line at the start of free agency, making that their primary target of need come draft time. They managed to fill some of that depth by selecting Clemson defensive tackle Bryan Bresee with their first-round pick.
Bresee was once thought of as a mid-first rounder, suffering a slide down the draft board by a mixture of a poor draft process and lack of positional need. Defensive tackles normally need to be generational talents to be considered early picks, giving the Saints the benefit of getting him later in the draft. If he can produce a bit more as his rookie season progresses, then the Saints will be in a good position to repeat the same success they had last year on the defensive side of things.
Reasons Why Saints Can & Can’t Win Super Bowl 58
- Continuity at all three levels of an elite defense
- Potential big upgrade at quarterback with Derek Carr under center
- Olave expected to continue his progression as a true go-to target at receiver
- Lack of depth at receiver with no true third option
- Unproductive running game
- Derek Carr turnover issues and lack of playoff experience
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