New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles Player Props (11/21/21)

I’m not sure I would have told you a couple of weeks ago that this Saints-Eagles game would have some of the highest stakes of all the games on the Week 11 slate, but here we are. The Eagles’ decisive road win over the Broncos put them firmly back in the hunt for a Wild Card spot in the NFC while the Saints are looking to rebound after a loss to the Titans dropped them to 5-4 on the year. I could spend all day talking about the betting angles in this game, but we’re here to talk about player props, and man, there are a lot of them in this game. Let’s dive in.

New Orleans Saints Vs. Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Search Tool

Jalen Hurts Over 47.5 Rushing Yards

I can’t for the life of me understand why Jalen Hurts is still at under 50 yards on his rushing over/under line with the way he has run the ball this season. Over the past month, he’s averaging 61.8 rushing yards per game, and he’s averaging 54.7 yards per game on the year. The Saints are not an ideal matchup, to be fair – they allow just 72.9 rushing yards per game, the fewest in the NFL. However, they have not faced a quarterback this year with the rushing capabilities of Hurts, and the Eagles have become very committed to running the ball in recent weeks. I don’t care who the opponent is; as long as Hurts is available at this line, I’ll be taking the over.

Mark Ingram Over 90.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

With Alvin Kamara out again this week, it should be the Mark Ingram show for the Saints. Last week, Ingram played on 85% of snaps and finished with 108 yards from scrimmage on 18 touches. I’m hesitant to play the over on his rushing yardage at 56.5 yards as the Eagles have allowed just 4.0 yards per carry, the seventh-fewest in the NFL. However, Ingram’s involvement in the passing game should continue this week as the Saints’ receivers will face a talented crop of Philadelphia cornerbacks. Ingram will be relied upon as a check-down option for Trevor Siemian, who doesn’t exactly have the scrambling ability in his toolkit.

Quez Watkins Over 34.5 Yards Receiving Yards

The Saints’ pass defense has not been as good as perception would lead you to believe, and they have allowed 264.9 passing yards per game, the seventh-most in the NFL. Most of their struggles defensively have stemmed from inconsistent coverage outside of Marshon Lattimore. For example, last week against the Titans, A.J. Brown finished with just one reception for 16 yards as he saw shadow coverage from Lattimore. Meanwhile, Marcus Johnson finished with five receptions for 100 yards, including a 50-yard catch. DeVonta Smith will likely draw the Lattimore assignment this week while Watkins is free to run against lesser competition. Watkins is a big play waiting to happen, and he has hit this number in half of his games this season.

Deonte Harris Over 40.5 Receiving Yards

Deonte Harris has quietly become the Saints’ best receiver, and he has surpassed this yardage line in four of his last five games. Harris has been excellent this season – PFF has him ranked as the second-best receiver in all of football, and while I don’t buy into that noise, he has been quite productive. The Eagles are a tough matchup for wide receivers, with Darius Slay, Steven Nelson, and Avonte Maddox patrolling the secondary. Still, this line is simply too low for Harris, as he is averaging 6.3 targets per game over his last three. Harris hasn’t played more than 40% of the team’s snaps once this season, and if they ever decide to make him more than a part-time player, he’d be destructive to opposing teams. Regardless of whether or not that happens this week, he should be able to beat this number.